[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 252120
HLSTBW

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXPANDED NORTHWARD THROUGH LEVY COUNTY...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE TOPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED NORTH TO INCLUDE THE
NATURE COAST.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF FLORIDA WEST WEST COAST AND
THE GULF OF MEXICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BONITA
BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT TO 60 NM AND FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON
SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ENGLEWOOD TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20 NM...TAMPA BAY...AND TARPON
SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...HERNANDO AND PASCO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...
SARASOTA...DESOTO...CHARLOTTE AND LEE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3N...LONGITUDE 76.0W. THIS WAS ABOUT 610 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MOUTH OF TAMPA BAY FL...OR ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF FORT MYERS FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 21 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC IS CURRENTLY MOVING OVER CUBA WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE WEST FLORIDA
COAST THROUGH MONDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND
SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN
SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST WIDESPREAD DAMAGE
SOMEWHERE WITHIN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY RUSKIN SHORTLY. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT
DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR
POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

FLZ062-065-260430-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND. STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE
HOME...AND DO SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION  OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

$$

FLZ050-051-055-060-061-260430-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-SARASOTA-DESOTO-
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 72 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM ISAAC. MUCH DEPENDS
ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION  OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

$$

FLZ052-056-057-260430-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 63 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS
COULD RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

$$

GMZ856-873-876-260430-
/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
22 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING TO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS
OF AROUND 20 FEET MAY BE POSSIBLE OFFSHORE.


$$

GMZ830-850-853-870-260430-
/O.CON.KTBW.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
18 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SUNDAY EVENING TO EARLY
TUESDAY EVENING. SEAS OF AROUND 20 FEET MAY BE POSSIBLE OFFSHORE.

$$

FLZ039-042-043-048-049-260430-
/O.EXA.KTBW.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-
520 PM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

$$






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