[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 251257
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND HURRICANE
WATCH FOR MIAMI METRO AND COASTAL...

.NEW INFORMATION...
ADJUSTED STORM SURGE INFORMATION GULF COAST.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LOCAL GULF WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND MIAMI DADE...METRO MIAMI DADE AND
COASTAL MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH AND
BISCAYNE BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
COLLIER...INLAND BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH AND
COASTAL BROWARD.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7N...LONGITUDE 73.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES
FL. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU ARE
RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE OVERLY
SPECIFIC WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES.

A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE MAINLY FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF COAST AND MIAMI AT THIS TIME.
SHOULD THAT POTENTIAL BE REALIZED IT WOULD MATERIALIZE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEREFORE A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED
FOR THOSE AREAS.

THERE IS ALSO THE CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM
APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH HIGHER AMOUNTS IF RAIN BANDS TRAIN
REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA AS ISAAC MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A
FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA BY
SUNDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL
OF SOUTH FLORIDA, REGARDLESS OF STORM INTENSITY. WHILE A TORNADO
IS POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME, THE GREATEST RISK WILL BE SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.

MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST. LOW TO
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.

VERY ROUGH SURF WILL IMPACT ESPECIALLY THE ATLANTIC BEACHES AS
ISAAC NEARS AND ONSHORE WINDS INCREASE. THIS WILL RESULT IN A VERY
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES THROUGH
MONDAY. STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS... OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ069-075-174-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL COLLIER-MAINLAND MONROE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 7 TO
15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 71 TO 81 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...DEPENDENT ON THE
EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE
TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH
SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND
UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 5 TO 7
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST FLOODING POTENTIAL INCLUDE AREAS
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SOUTH AND WEST OF TAMIAMI TRAIL IN
COLLIER COUNTY DOWN TO THE EVERGLADES CITY AREA. ON THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK...STORM SURGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOWER THAN THE
VALUES ABOVE...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION IN TRACK TO THE EAST AND
OR AN INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY OR SIZE COULD RESULT IN AT
LEAST THIS SURGE POTENTIAL IF NOT HIGHER. MAIN TIMING CONCERN FOR
SURGE ALONG GULF COAST WILL BE ON MONDAY.

AGGRESSIVE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MAJOR
COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...EXPECT LARGE
AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE. SEVERE BEACH
EROSION. SEVERAL SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS WASHED OUT AND/OR
LOW-LYING ESCAPE ROUTES SEVERELY FLOODED. A POWERFUL AND SCOURING
STORM SURGE AND TIDE ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WIND WAVES
BREACHING DUNES AND POSSIBLY SEAWALLS IN SCATTERED LOCATIONS
RESULTING IN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SHORELINE BUILDINGS...WITH A
FEW WASHING INTO THE SEA. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING DEBRIS.
MODERATE TO MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS...DOCKS...AND PIERS. MANY
SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS...ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED
ANCHORAGES...LIFTED ONSHORE AND STRANDED. DESCRIPTIONS ARE
CONSISTENT WITH DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET
IN DEPTH (ABOVE GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES.

$$

FLZ073-074-173-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS
SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE
TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH
SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND
UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE AREAS ALONG BISCAYNE BAY FROM MIAMI BEACH SOUTH TO SOUTH
MIAMI DADE.

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE FOR THE THREAT OF MINOR TO LOCALLY
MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD DAMAGE FROM SEA WATER. IF REALIZED...
EXPECT PARTIAL INUNDATION WITHIN THE FLOOD ZONE...ESPECIALLY FOR
LOW-LYING AREAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR BEACH EROSION. VERY
HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN
HISTORICALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. DESCRIPTIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH
DAMAGE CAUSED BY COASTAL FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IN DEPTH (ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL) IN HARDEST HIT PLACES.

$$

FLZ063-066>068-070>072-168-172-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 11 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 74 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS
SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE FORECAST...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE
MADE FOR THE THREAT OF AT LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE WIND
DAMAGE. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS...AND AWNINGS ALONG WITH SOME DAMAGE
TO SHINGLES AND SIDING...LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN OFF TREES WITH
SEVERAL SHALLOW-ROOTED AND DISEASED TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND
UNSECURED LIGHT- WEIGHT OBJECTS EASILY BLOWN ABOUT BECOMING
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON
BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. A FEW ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN
INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO
THE COAST...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FEET
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. THIS ONLY A
CONCERN AT THIS TIME FOR THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF BROWARD AND PALM
BEACH COUNTIES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ656-657-676-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO
20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 72 TO 82 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING. THE ONSET OF
HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
85 KNOTS.

SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING...
INCREASING TO POSSIBLY OVER 20 FEET BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
OFFSHORE.

$$

AMZ630-651-671-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE MOST LIKELY ONSET
OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS
TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE...
DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC.

SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

AMZ650-670-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 49 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS.

SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD OVER 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

AMZ610-261300-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-
857 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
44 TO 54 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM ISAAC APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY SUNDAY
EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.

$$






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