[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 100143
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM MARIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
943 PM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...RAIN BANDS FROM MARIA MOVING ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES...

.NEW INFORMATION...
ALL SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR PUERTO RICO INCLUDING
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0N...LONGITUDE 59.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 386 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 287 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO
RICO BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MARIA'S RAINBANDS PRESENT A SERIOUS
CONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING ACROSS
EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. MARIA IS ALSO
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AND BY SATURDAY EVENING DAMAGING
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 9:30 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

PRZ001>011-100745-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
943 PM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 45
PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MARIA ARE EXPECTED TO
BEGIN AFFECTING EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AROUND
DAYBREAK SATURDAY. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL
FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN FAVORED AREAS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR HIGH WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST BRINGS THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BE IN THE 45 TO 55 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 65 MPH OR GREATER.
EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE COASTAL
WATERS SATURDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS
ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 14 FEET.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED TO
BE LOW. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND ONE FOOT. THIS
SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE NORMAL
TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 8 TO 12 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY.
THIS COULD CAUSE MODERATE BEACH EROSION AND POSSIBLY FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA SLOWLY APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA AND PASSES CLOSE TO PUERTO
RICO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER...
TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-100745-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
943 PM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 57
PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 55 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF
65 MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC
OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 14 FEET.

...WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
REMEMBER... WATERSPOUTS CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$

PRZ012-013-VIZ001-002-100745-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
943 PM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 53
PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


...WINDS AND SEAS...

AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 55 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF
65 MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC
OFF SHORE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY BY
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 14 FEET.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
STORM MARIA ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND VIEQUES AND CULEBRA SATURDAY MORNING...AND PUERTO RICO
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING TROPICAL STORM
MARIA WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN
FAVORED AREAS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF STEEP TERRAIN. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED TO
BE LOW. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND ONE FOOT. THIS
SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE NORMAL
TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 8 TO 12 FEET THROUGH SUNDAY.
THIS COULD CAUSE MODERATE BEACH EROSION AND POSSIBLY FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.


...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES CLOSE TO PUERTO
RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. REMEMBER... TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY
FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$





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