[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 091544
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM MARIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...MARIA EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. IN
ADDITION...STORM INFORMATION UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL PUERTO RICO...
INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 630
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 570 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI...OR ABOUT 540 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SAINT CROIX. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERAL
WEST NORTHWEST MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SERIOUS CONCERN FOR A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING EVENT ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION DUE TO
RECENT HEAVY RAINS. THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER TRACKS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 300 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

PRZ001>013-101545-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

$$

VIZ001-002-101545-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 43 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY EVENING.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 55 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 65
MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF
SHORE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY
BY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 14 FEET OR GREATER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAIN BANDS WITH EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS SATURDAY MORNING...AND PUERTO RICO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE BANDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING TROPICAL STORM MARIA WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO EIGHT
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN FAVORED AREA.
MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED TO
BE LOW. THE STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET.
THIS SURGE WILL ADD TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...CREATING ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES. THUS...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
INUNDATION OF LOW LYING AREAS UNTIL THE ONSHORE WINDS SUBSIDE.

IN ADDITION TO ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. THE SURF ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO WILL LIKELY APPROACH 8 TO 12 FEET ON SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND
POSSIBLY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES CLOSE TO PUERTO
RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. REMEMBER...
TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$

AMZ712-735-741-742-745-101545-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

$$

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-101545-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 47 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY EVENING.
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO 55 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 65
MPH OR GREATER. EAST SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC OFF
SHORE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AND WILL BUILD SIGNIFICANTLY
BY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COMBINED SEAS ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 14 FEET OR GREATER.

...MARINE...
ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS THE LOCAL AND
REGIONAL WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA BRINGS INCREASING WINDS AND
SEAS STARTING SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK ON SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH
TUESDAY. COMBINED SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 8 TO 14 FEET OR
GREATER.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES CLOSE TO PUERTO
RICO...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. REMEMBER...
TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$







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