[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 091358
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM MARIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
958 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH MARIA ALREADY REACHING THE LESSER
ANTILLES...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NEW POSITION. ADDED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS PROBABILITIES.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO
INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES AND THE COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE SOUTH OF AGUADILLA.

.STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0N...LONGITUDE 56.9W. THIS WAS
ABOUT 680 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 610 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 290
DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERAL
WEST NORTHWEST MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SERIOUS CONCERN FOR A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING EVENT ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION DUE TO
RECENT HEAVY RAINS. THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER TRACKS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR PROBABLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 1230 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-715-722-725-732-101400-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
958 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 47 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO AS MUCH AS 24 FEET IN THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE ZONES.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF WATERSPOUTS ESPECIALLY IN THE OUTER
RAIN BANDS.

$$

VIZ001-002-101400-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
958 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 43 PERCENT. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS SOON AS LATE SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED! HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION WILL SEE SOME DAMAGE. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN
OUT. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS
OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED AND WEAKENED. SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE
UPROOTED...OR SNAPPED...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE GROUND IS SATURATED.
POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS...ESPECIALLY IN
AREAS WITH NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS
WILL CAUSE MANY LOCAL GUSTS AND LOW LYING AREAS TO FLOOD.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE RANGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF TORNADOES IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

$$

PRZ012-013-101400-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
958 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
31 TO 37 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE
SATURDAY EVENING. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
STORM. THIS POSES A THREAT OF MODERATE FLOODING. MODERATE
FLOODING MEANS THAT FLASH FLOODING WITH INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES
AND ROADS NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS IS EXPECTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE RANGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF TORNADOES IN CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

$$

PRZ001>011-101400-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-
958 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 35 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. DAMAGE TO LIGHTLY
CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND. SOME TREE DAMAGE WILL OCCUR AND
POWER LINES ARE LIKELY TO BE KNOCKED DOWN WITH FALLING TREE LIMBS
CAUSING POWER OUTAGES TO ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
STORM...WITH HIGHER TERRAIN RECEIVING LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
THIS POSES A THREAT OF MODERATE FLOODING. MODERATE FLOODING MEANS
THAT FLASH FLOODING AS WELL AS FLOODING OF LARGER RIVERS WITH
INUNDATION OF STRUCTURES AND ROADS NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS IS
EXPECTED.


...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF TORNADOES IN PUERTO RICO.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF LESS THAN 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN PUERTO RICO.

$$

AMZ712-735-741-742-745-101400-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
958 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 37 PERCENT...HIGHEST IN THE EAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM MARIA MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. MARINERS EAST OF
PONCE OR ARECIBO SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE
INTENSIFICATION.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF WATERSPOUTS IN THE COASTAL
WATERS...HIGHEST ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF PUERTO RICO.

$$

SNELL


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