[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 282331
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
RINA...LOCATED NEAR THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. THE REMNANTS ARE
RAPIDLY DEGENERATING INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACCOMPANIED BY
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ACTIVITY IS SPREADING EASTWARD
OVER FLORIDA.

A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THERE ARE NO
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW
TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 900 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTERACTING WITH A MID-LEVEL LOW.
SURFACE PRESSURES REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH IN THE AREA...AND THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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