[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Oct 8 21:46:28 CDT 2011


WTNT42 KNHC 090246
TCDAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PHILIPPE DISCUSSION NUMBER  60
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1100 PM AST SAT OCT 08 2011

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT PHILIPPE HAS MERGED WITH A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND IS NOW A POST-TROPICAL/EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE
INITIAL WIND SPEED IS MAINTAINED AT 45 KT...ALTHOUGH THE MINIMUM
PRESSURE WAS ADJUSTED LOWER BASED ON A 987.5 MB REPORT FROM
DRIFTING BUOY 44878 ABOUT SIX HOURS AGO. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND BECOME
ABSORBED BY A LARGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY DAY 4. THE STORM IS
MOVING RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 30 KT. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL THIS
SYSTEM BECOMES ABSORBED.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
PHILIPPE. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/0300Z 38.4N  43.9W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  09/1200Z 40.2N  42.3W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  10/0000Z 43.0N  40.0W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  10/1200Z 46.5N  36.5W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  11/0000Z 51.0N  32.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  12/0000Z 59.0N  25.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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