[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 261746
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 26 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  LITTLE...IF ANY...
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE ON MONDAY WHERE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
SOMEWHAT MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS
TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA

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