[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 030547
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF
NICARAGUA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE REGION OF DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  HOWEVER...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER
THAT TIME.  HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES
OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND JAMAICA OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY.

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY A
COUPLE HUNDRED MILES NORTHWEST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  UPPER-
LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING HOSTILE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE... NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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