[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 282248
HLSBRO

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DON LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
548 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...DON MOVING BRISKLY NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED STRENGTH OF TROPICAL STORM DON
THROUGH LANDFALL. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
SOUTH. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND
WARNING ALIGNMENT.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND THE ADJACENT WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE
GULF OF MEXICO.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
KENEDY COUNTY.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BROOKS...INLAND WILLACY...INLAND CAMERON...COASTAL WILLACY AND
COASTAL CAMERON COUNTIES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF GULF WATERS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 390 MILES
EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...OR ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. THE STORM MOTION WAS TO THE NORTHWEST OR 305
DEGREES AT 16 MPH. THE STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM DON CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO...AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTLINE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. SOME TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER KENEDY COUNTY IN
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE BAY AND GULF WATERS ADJACENT TO THIS
COUNTY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IN
ADDITION TO THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY DON AS IT MAKES
LANDFALL NEAR CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND MIDNIGHT TOMORROW NIGHT. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD AND OVER JIM HOGG...BROOKS AND KENEDY
COUNTIES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE AROUND 11 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GMZ135-155-175-290400-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
548 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 55 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. VERY ROUGH BAY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE GULF
SEAS WILL START TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
THE 10 TO 14 FOOT RANGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MARINE CONDITIONS
WILL THEN START TO IMPROVE ON SATURDAY AS DON MOVES FURTHER INLAND
AWAY FROM THE COASTLINE.

$$

GMZ130-132-150-170-290400-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
548 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 48
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST
LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THESE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SOME SLOW IMPROVEMENT
EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
STRONG WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. SOME ROUGH BAY
CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND COULD PERSIST THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THE GULF SEAS WILL START TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY
AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 10 TO 14 FOOT RANGE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL THEN START TO IMPROVE ON SATURDAY AS
DON MOVES FURTHER INLAND AWAY FROM THE COASTLINE.

$$

TXZ251-290400-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-
548 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS PERSISTING INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY WHICH
INCLUDES THE TOWN OF SARITA.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 MPH.  MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS
SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MINIMAL. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST SURGE GRIDS...COASTAL
FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BE NEGLIGIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
AT THIS TIME NO WIDESPREAD SERIOUS INLAND FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

...TORNADOES...
AT THIS TIME THERE IS NO THREAT FOR TORNADO FORMATION.

$$

TXZ250-254>257-290400-
/O.CON.KBRO.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BROOKS-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-
COASTAL CAMERON-
548 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 39 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM DON. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. ACCORDING TO THE LATEST SURGE GRIDS...
COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO BE NEGLIGIBLE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
AT THIS TIME NO WIDESPREAD SERIOUS INLAND FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

...TORNADOES...
AT THIS TIME THERE IS NO THREAT FOR TORNADO FORMATION.

$$

SPEECE





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