[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Jul 28 05:13:07 CDT 2011


WTUS84 KHGX 281012
HLSHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DON LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
512 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TROPICAL STORM DON HAS SHIFTED A BIT SOUTH.
STORM IMPACTS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO AFFECT MORE OF THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT LAND
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THE UPPER
TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
JACKSON...MATAGORDA...AND BRAZORIA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TEXAS BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 590
MILES SOUTHEAST OF MATAGORDA TX...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FREEPORT TX. STORM MOTION WAS WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10
MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND...RAINFALL...AND SURGE
FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD
BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST DAMAGING WINDS SOMEWHERE
WITHIN SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

IF THE CURRENT FORECAST DOES NOT CHANGE...EXPECT AN INCREASING
THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
BEGINNING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS AND THEN INLAND BY FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL
TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES...MAINLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THE
STORM AND THE RECENT SEVERE DROUGHT SHOULD RESULT IN A LOW RISK
OF FLOODING.

LIKE MOST TROPICAL STORMS...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A THREAT FOR
TORNADOES WITH THE GREATEST RISK AREA PROBABLY NORTH THROUGH
EAST OF THE CENTER. AT THIS TIME...ONLY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IS EXPECTED NEAR AND MAINLY TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE TO PREPARE YOUR HOME OR
BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

TXZ235>237-291015-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
512 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM DON. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY...AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY...TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH TO BETWEEN 1 AND 1.5 FEET ABOVE
THE ASTRONOMICALLY PREDICTED LEVELS.

NOTE...THE FOLLOWING HIGH TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN SEA
LEVEL.

LOCATION          HIGH TIDES         EXPECTED
                  TIMES              WATER LEVEL

FREEPORT USCG...
                  THU  4:40 AM       1.9 FEET

                  FRI  5:06 AM       1.9 FEET

                  SAT  5:26 AM       1.8 FEET

PORT OCONNOR...
                  THU 10:17 AM       1.7 FEET

                  FRI 11:02 AM       1.7 FEET

                  SAT 11:38 AM       1.7 FEET

$$

GMZ330-350-370-291015-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
512 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

&&


$$






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