[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KCRP 280458
HLSCRP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DON LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1158 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011

...TROPICAL STORM DON HEADING TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

.NEW INFORMATION...
PROVIDING ADDITIONAL INFORMATION TO THE SEGMENTED AREAS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MCMULLEN...LIVE OAK...BEE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...DUVAL...JIM
WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND
CALHOUN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL
OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.8N...LONGITUDE 88.1W. THIS WAS ABOUT 660 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX...OR ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PORT O'CONNOR TX. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT
12 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 40 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
IT IS VITAL THAT YOU DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. TO
DO SO COULD RESULT IN BAD DECISIONS AND PLACE YOU OR THOSE YOU
ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR AT GREATER RISK. THERE IS STILL A GOOD AMOUNT OF
UNCERTAINTY ON EXACTLY WHERE DON WILL MAKE LANDFALL...AS WELL AS
ITS MAXIMUM STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE
EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A
GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST DAMAGING
WINDS SOMEWHERE WITHIN SOUTH TEXAS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS
ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND 5 AM CDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

TXZ242>247-281700-
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
1158 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 44 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START
AS EARLY AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE FRIDAY EVENING TO SATURDAY
MORNING. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM DON. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DEPENDING ON WHERE DON EVENTUALLY MAKES LANDFALL WILL DETERMINE
HOW MUCH TOTAL RAINFALL SOUTH TEXAS WILL RECEIVE FROM THIS SYSTEM.
AT THIS TIME...THE CONCERN FOR INLAND FLOODING IS LOW. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE
TRACK CENTER...WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SOUTHWEST
OF THE CENTER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 INCH OR LESS.

$$

TXZ230>234-240-241-281700-
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-DUVAL-JIM WELLS-
1158 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 39 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT TO LATE
SATURDAY MORNING. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...
DEPENDING ON WHERE DON EVENTUALLY MAKES LANDFALL WILL DETERMINE
HOW MUCH TOTAL RAINFALL SOUTH TEXAS WILL RECEIVE FROM THIS SYSTEM.
AT THIS TIME...THE CONCERN FOR INLAND FLOODING IS LOW. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE
TRACK CENTER...WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. SOUTHWEST
OF THE CENTER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 INCH OR LESS.

$$

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-281700-
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.A.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1158 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 53 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD
START AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM DON MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED
HIGH WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY FRIDAY EVENING TO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEA
HEIGHTS WILL RISE TO AT LEAST 12 FEET BY LATE FRIDAY. SEA HEIGHTS
MAY EVEN BE HIGHER...ONCE THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF DON BECOMES MORE
APPARENT.

$$

GW





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