[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 120535
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED...BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS COULD AFFECT THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NICARAGUA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ALTHOUGH
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ACROSS THE REGION...SURFACE
PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...
BELIZE...AND ADJACENT OFFSHORE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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