[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 080534
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 8 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA HAS DECREASED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. IN ADDITION...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS WEATHER SYSTEM COULD STILL PRODUCE
PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A
FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS
HAVE DECREASED.  SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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