[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 26 21:31:31 CDT 2011


WTNT45 KNHC 270232
TCDAT5

REMNANTS OF TEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102011
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND POORLY DEFINED...AND
RESEMBLES A NORTHEAST- TO SOUTHWEST-ORIENTED TROUGH.   THE ONLY DEEP
CONVECTION IS A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A COUPLE
HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE TROUGH.  SINCE THE SYSTEM NOW LACKS THE
REQUIRED CHARACTERISTICS THAT DEFINE A TROPICAL CYCLONE...I.E. A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER AND ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION...ADVISORIES ARE
BEING TERMINATED AT THIS TIME.  WESTERLY SHEAR IS LIKELY TO
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...SO REGENERATION
OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY.

THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL
COMPLETELY LOSING ITS IDENTITY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/0300Z 16.0N  34.0W   25 KT  30 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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