[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 26 18:08:10 CDT 2011


WTUS81 KOKX 262308
HLSOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
708 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...LARGE HURRICANE IRENE HEADING TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

.NEW INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE NOW BEEN
ISSUED. UPDATED STORM SURGE AND WIND SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD...NORTHERN NEW HAVEN...NORTHERN MIDDLESEX...
NORTHERN NEW LONDON...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...EASTERN PASSAIC...
HUDSON...WESTERN BERGEN...EASTERN BERGEN...WESTERN ESSEX...
EASTERN ESSEX...WESTERN UNION...EASTERN UNION...PUTNAM...
ROCKLAND...NORTHERN WESTCHESTER...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK
(MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...KINGS
(BROOKLYN)...NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHERN QUEENS...
NORTHERN NASSAU...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS AND NEW YORK HARBOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
WESTERN PASSAIC...ORANGE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. PLEASE LISTEN
CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR
AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.7N...LONGITUDE 77.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 650 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 720 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS N OR
360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 100 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH THE OUTER BANDS FROM IRENE
LIKELY TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS ARE THEN LIKELY TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE IN
TORRENTIAL RAIN AND STRENGTHENING WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT. THE WORST
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING
WINDS...FLOODING RAINS...AND SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST
TRACK...AS THE IMPACTS OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE FELT OVER A LARGE
AREA DUE TO THE SIZE OF THE STORM.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
TRACK...INTENSITY AND TIMING OF THE HURRICANE...THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING DAMAGE IF THE GREATEST
SURGE COINCIDES WITH THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDES ON SUNDAY.
THIS SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE
THREATENING WAVES.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. BASED ON RECENT HEAVY RAINS...IF THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OCCUR...MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY.
SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL
ALSO BE AN ISSUE. AS A RESULT A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 930 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

CTZ005>012-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ068>075-078>081-176>179-272315-
/O.CON.KOKX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-
WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
708 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS SUNDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 55 TO 75 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH.

A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF DAMAGING WINDS
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY
TREES WILL SNAP. SOME TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...ESPECIALLY WHERE
THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE
PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST. BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK OF IRENE THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERAL FEET OF SURGE...PARTICULARLY IN WESTERN LONG ISLAND
SOUND...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE SOUTH SHORE
BACK BAYS OF LONG ISLAND AND NEW YORK CITY. THESE TIDAL CONDITIONS
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE
THREATENING WAVES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.
SEE THE LATEST FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF
FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
INCREASINGLY LARGE SWELLS ARRIVING FROM HURRICANE IRENE WILL
CREATE HIGH SURF AND SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION ALONG THE ATLANTIC
FACING COASTLINE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTLINE OF
LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS DUE TO THE
BATTERING SURF.

$$

NJZ002-NYZ067-272315-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
708 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 60 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. SEE
LATEST FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS
OCCUR.

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-272315-
/O.CON.KOKX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
708 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY
SATURDAY EVENING AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50 TO 70 KNOTS
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS.

BASED ON FORECAST WINDS...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SEAS TO BUILD TO
THE 20 TO 35 FOOT RANGE ON THE OCEAN...AND 15 TO 25 FEET ON LONG
ISLAND SOUND.

$$




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