[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 26 14:11:13 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KMHX 261910
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
310 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND DARE...GREENE...
BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...
PAMLICO...CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS
HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.2N...LONGITUDE 77.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH
OF MOREHEAD CITY NC OR 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTH WEST OF BUXTON. STORM
MOTION WAS N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 100 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
DUE TO THE SIZE AND THE STRENGTH OF THE STORM...SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
WILL OCCUR WELL AWAY FROM THE STORM CENTER. SIGNIFICANT STORM
SURGE...DAMAGING WINDS AND FRESH WATER FLOODING ARE EXPECTED AS
IRENE AFFECTS THE AREA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

NCZ029-044-079-090>092-271915-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MARTIN-PITT-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
310 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR LENOIR COUNTY...AT 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON A SHELTER WILL BE
OPENED AT LENOIR COMMUNITY COLLEGE.

FOR JONES COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT.

FOR PITT COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS OF PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING
AREAS. SHELTERS WILL BE OPENING AT 6 PM AT WELLCOME MIDDLE
SCHOOL...FARMVILLE CENTRAL HIGH SCHOOL...DH CONLEY HIGH SCHOOL.
TWO PET SHELTERS WILL BE OPEN IN GREENVILLE AT HELENS GROOMING AT
3198 E 10TH STREET CONTACT 252 758 6333 WITH BACKUP AT PITT COUNTY
ANIMAL SHELTER AT 4450 COUNTY HOME ROAD CONTACT 252 378 6549.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
50 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 97 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

$$

NCZ045>047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104-271915-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-
PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
310 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR DARE COUNTY...MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
ALL VISITORS AND RESIDENTS. EVACUEES SHOULD USE HIGHWAY 64 WEST
THROUGH MANNS HARBOR DUE TO CONGESTED ROADS DUE TO NORFOLK
VIRGINIA EVACUATIONS. THERE ARE NO SHELTERS OPENED IN DARE COUNTY.
SHELTERS AVAILABLE FOR DARE COUNTY EVACUEES CAN USE TJ DAVIS
RECREATION CENTER 400 E SIXTH STREET IN ROANOKE RAPIDS...
NORTHAMPTON CULTURAL AND WELLNESS CENTER 9536 HIGHWAY 305 NORTH IN
JACKSON.

FOR ONSLOW COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS WILL COMMENCE FOR THE
FOR MOST OF THE COUNTY AT 6 PM. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WILL
COMMENCE FOR TOPSAIL BEACH AT 6 PM. A CURFEW WILL BE IN PLACE FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM SUNDAY. SHELTERS WILL BE OPEN AT 3
PM THIS AFTERNOON AT THE FOLLOWING SCHOOLS...DIXON MIDDLE
SCHOOL...JACKSONVILLE COMMONS...RICHLANDS HIGH...SOUTHWEST
MIDDLE...SWANSBORO HIGH...AND WHITE OAK HIGH.

FOR CARTERET COUNTY...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF BOGUE BANKS. EVERYONE SHOULD BE OFF THE ISLAND BY 8
PM WHEN BOTH BRIDGES...ATLANTIC BEACH...AND EMERALD ISLE...CLOSE.
A CURFEW AT BOGUE BANKS WILL BEGIN AT 8 PM UNTIL LIFTED. SHELTERS
SHELTERS OPEN AT 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND INCLUDE NEWPORT
MIDDLE...WEST CARTERET HIGH...ATLANTIC ELEMENTARY...WITH A HOST
SHELTER AT SMITHFIELD/SELMA SENIOR HIGH OPENING AT 4 PM.

FOR HYDE COUNTY...THERE ARE MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN PLACE FOR
OCRACOKE ISLAND AND MAINLAND HYDE COUNTY. NASH COUNTY SHELTER IS
OPEN AT INGLEWOOD BAPTIST CHURCH IN ROCKY MOUNT NC. WILSON COUNTY
SHELTER IS OPEN AT RALEIGH ROAD BAPTIST CHURCH IN WILSON NC. FOR
MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CALL THE PUBLIC INFORMATION LINE AT 252
926 4368.

FOR BEAUFORT COUNTY...THERE ARE MANDATORY EVACUATIONS FOR PEOPLE
LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS.

FOR TYRRELL COUNTY...THERE ARE MANDATORY EVACUATIONS FOR PEOPLE
LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS AND MOBILE HOMES.



&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
72 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 91 TO 99 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE OUTER BANKS....DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY...AREAS
ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...THE NEUSE AND
PAMLICO RIVERS...AND ALONG THE CRYSTAL COAST. IT IS STILL TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA TO BE
CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE
SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE
COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST
CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. MAXIMUM STORM SURGE OF 10 FT WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER STORM SURGE VALUES OF 11 FT MAY OCCUR IN DOWNEAST CARTERET
COUNTY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND...AND ALONG THE NEUSE AND
PAMLICO RIVERS. ALONG THE OUTER BANKS...5 TO 7 FEET OF SURGE IS
LIKELY WITH MAJOR DUNE EROSION AND OVERWASH AND POTENTIAL DUNE
BREACHES. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FT IS EXPECTED AT TOPSAIL BEACH.
ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...3 TO 5 FEET OF SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH
SOME AREAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF
IMPACT WILL BE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A MAJOR IMPACT. THE CONCERN IS FOR
THE CHANCE OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN AREAS WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN DAMAGING AND LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION. IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO
FAILED TO HEED OFFICIAL EVACUATION ORDERS WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEIR LIVES IN DANGER. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR THOSE
STAYING BEHIND IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS SUCH AS HOMES AND
BUSINESSES NEAR THE SHORE...AND ONE STORY DWELLINGS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS.

SEVERAL COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED...WITH THOSE
STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL BEING SUBJECT TO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. LARGE WAVES
AND POUNDING SURF WILL ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED
LOCATIONS. FLOOD WATERS MAY EXTEND WELL INLAND IN SPOTS. MANY
CARS WILL LIKELY BE SUBMERGED OR WASHED AWAY.

SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR. MANY ROADS WILL LIKELY BE
DAMAGED OR WASHED OUT BY THE FLOOD WATERS...LEAVING SECTIONS OF
COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS TEMPORARILY CUT OFF.
ROADWAY TRAVEL MAY BE DANGEROUS WITH SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES
TODAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND ROUGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.
DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AND VERY ROUGH SURF...BEACH GOERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SEE LATEST
FORECAST FOR LATEST INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

$$

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-271915-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
310 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
76 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 94 TO 99 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 65 TO 85 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS.

$$


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