[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 25 22:17:43 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KMHX 260318
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1118 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND DARE...GREENE...
BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...
PAMLICO...CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS
HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. THIS WAS ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF MOREHEAD
CITY NC. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTH AT 14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 115 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
DUE TO THE SIZE AND THE STRENGTH OF THE STORM...SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
WILL OCCUR WELL AWAY FROM THE STORM CENTER. SIGNIFICANT STORM
SURGE...DAMAGING WINDS AND FRESH WATER FLOODING ARE EXPECTED AS
IRENE AFFECTS THE AREA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

NCZ029-044-079-090>092-270330-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MARTIN-PITT-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
1118 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
29 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 90 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND SECTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR
LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.


$$

NCZ045>047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104-270330-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-
PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
1118 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
35 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 82 TO 92 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING. THE ONSET OF
HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD START AS EARLY AS SATURDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP
TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...
RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE THE GREATEST FLOODING
INCLUDE THE OUTER BANKS....DOWNEAST CARTERET COUNTY...AREAS
ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...THE NEUSE AND
PAMLICO RIVERS...AND ALONG THE CRYSTAL COAST. IT IS STILL TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE FORECAST AREA TO BE
CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE
SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE
COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST... RESULTING IN WORST
CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. MAXIMUM STORM SURGE OF 10 FT WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER STORM SURGE VALUES OF 11 FT MAY OCCUR IN DOWNEAST CARTERET
COUNTY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND...AND ALONG THE NEUSE AND
PAMLICO RIVERS. ALONG THE OUTER BANKS...5 TO 7 FEET OF SURGE IS
LIKELY WITH MAJOR DUNE EROSION AND OVERWASH AND POTENTIAL DUNE
BREACHES. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FT IS EXPECTED AT TOPSAIL BEACH.
ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND...3 TO 5 FEET OF SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH
SOME AREAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET POSSIBLE. THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF
IMPACT WILL BE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A MAJOR IMPACT. THE CONCERN IS FOR
THE CHANCE OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN AREAS WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN DAMAGING AND LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION. IF REALIZED...PEOPLE WITHIN THE THREATENED AREAS WHO
FAILED TO HEED OFFICIAL EVACUATION ORDERS WILL HAVE NEEDLESSLY
PLACED THEIR LIVES IN DANGER. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR THOSE
STAYING BEHIND IN VULNERABLE LOCATIONS SUCH AS HOMES AND
BUSINESSES NEAR THE SHORE...AND ONE STORY DWELLINGS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS.

SEVERAL COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL LIKELY BE DAMAGED...WITH THOSE
STRUCTURES NOT RAISED OR PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL BEING SUBJECT TO
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. LARGE WAVES
AND POUNDING SURF WILL ACCENTUATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IN EXPOSED
LOCATIONS. FLOOD WATERS MAY EXTEND WELL INLAND IN SPOTS. MANY
CARS WILL LIKELY BE SUBMERGED OR WASHED AWAY.

SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR. MANY ROADS WILL LIKELY BE
DAMAGED OR WASHED OUT BY THE FLOOD WATERS...LEAVING SECTIONS OF
COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS TEMPORARILY CUT OFF.
ROADWAY TRAVEL MAY BE DANGEROUS WITH SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED.


...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES
TODAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND ROUGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.
DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AND VERY ROUGH SURF...BEACH GOERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.


...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. 6 TO 12 INCHES OF
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.


$$

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-270330-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
1118 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
38 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 94 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS LATE SATURDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO LAST FOR MANY HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE 65 TO 85 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 35 FEET OR HIGHER ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


$$




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