[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 25 11:20:02 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KILM 251620
HLSILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1220 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BLADEN...COLUMBUS...INLAND PENDER...COASTAL PENDER...INLAND NEW
HANOVER...COASTAL NEW HANOVER...INLAND BRUNSWICK...COASTAL
BRUNSWICK...INLAND HORRY...COASTAL HORRY...INLAND GEORGETOWN AND
COASTAL GEORGETOWN.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9N...LONGITUDE 76.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH
OF WILMINGTON NC. STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 115 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND...RAIN...AND SURGE
FORECAST VALUES FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS...SO WHEN MAKING DECISIONS
DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. AS MAJOR HURRICANE IRENE
APPROACHES THE AREA...EXPECT AN INCREASING THREAT OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. LARGE WAVES AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP WELL AHEAD OF THE HURRICANE...WITH
CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ON FRIDAY. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHEN WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAIN AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING SOMEWHERE WITHIN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS
ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF
LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AROUND 3 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

NCZ096-099-105>110-SCZ053>056-252230-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-
COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
1220 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAS INCREASED TO 25 PERCENT
ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF CAPE FEAR...AND 10 PERCENT ACROSS THE
GRAND STRAND. THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UP TO
85 PERCENT ACROSS CAPE FEAR AND 70 PERCENT OVER THE GRAND STRAND.
THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IS LIKELY TO CHANGE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO BEGIN AS EARLY AS FRIDAY EVENING AND
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE IRENE. MUCH DEPENDS ON
THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES THE COAST. HOWEVER...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG EAST FACING BEACHES NORTH OF
CAPE FEAR.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES
OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. HOWEVER...SPIRAL BANDS WELL AWAY FROM
THE CENTER OF THE STORM COULD PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN IN A
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL HAZARDS ARE LIKELY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL MAKE GOING INTO
THE WATER AT THE BEACHES UNSAFE. ADDITIONALLY...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AT ALL AREA BEACHES.

$$

AMZ250-252-254-256-252230-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
1220 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE BEST
STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO
30 PERCENT...AND THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UP
TO 90 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS COULD BEGIN TO IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS AS EARLY AS
LATE FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SEAS
OF 15 TO 25 FEET BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND PERSISTING
THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY.

$$

JDW







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