[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 250720
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
320 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE IRENE NEARING THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THIS UPDATE REFLECTS UPDATED STORM INFORMATION FOR THE 2 AM
ADVISORY.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE
JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS
OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

OVER LAND...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT
IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...
SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...AND VOLUSIA...IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS
ARE STILL A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 410
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO NEAR 115
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...IRENE IS STILL A MAJOR
HURRICANE WITH SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING FORECAST.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS
OVERNIGHT AND IS FORECAST TO EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS BY
LATE AFTERNOON TODAY. IRENE WILL PASS EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
ON FRIDAY AS A LARGE AND POWERFUL MAJOR HURRICANE.

THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER OF IRENE 200 TO 250
MILES OFFSHORE. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FOR
LAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

BY LATE MORNING...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN
DEVELOPING OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES FROM THE
TREASURE COAST...AND SPREAD NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY. ALSO BY LATE
MORNING AND WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE TREASURE COAST...
WIND GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN TO OCCUR AS THE
OUTER REACHES OF IRENE ENCROACH UPON THESE WATERS. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...WHETHER SUSTAINED OFFSHORE OR GUSTY NEARSHORE...WILL
OVERSPREAD THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS IRENE MOVES NORTH.

THE SEAS WELL OFFSHORE ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME DANGEROUS AND BUILD
TO 20 TO 25 FEET...WITH NEARSHORE SEAS BUILDING TO 12 TO 16 FEET.
DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR ALONG AREA BEACHES.

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS AND STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT FOR STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY
TODAY AND REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

THOUGH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED...THERE WILL BE A LOW
THREAT FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING RAIN ALONG THE COAST LATER TODAY INTO
FRIDAY ASSOCIATED WITH PASSING SQUALLS. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
WATERSPOUTS ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN OUTER RAIN BANDS...AND
MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR MARINERS...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

AT THE BEACHES...IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF
TODAY AND FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU DOWN AND MAKE
YOU SUSCEPTIBLE TO DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING WAVES MAY ALSO
POSE A HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE
BREAKING WAVES.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ570-572-575-260730-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
320 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN 20 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES FROM SHORE...AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL GIVE WAY TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS BEGINNING LATE
THIS MORNING SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET. THESE SAME CONDITIONS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS DURING THE DAY AND CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY. SEAS BECOMING DANGEROUS AND BUILDING TO 20 TO 25
FEET.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-260730-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
320 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS AROUND
40 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL
MILES...AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15
TO 20 KNOTS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS BY LATER THIS MORNING.
THEN...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS BY LATER THIS
EVENING. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN
INLET AND SPREAD NORTH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS ALL OF THE WATERS IN ANY FAST MOVING
RAIN SQUALLS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 16 FEET.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-260730-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
320 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE LATER THIS MORNING ALONG
THE TREASURE COAST...

...INCREASING THREAT FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FOR ALL BEACHES...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO
OCCUR.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG COASTAL AREAS
BY LATE MORNING AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES. WIND GUSTS IN
SQUALLS ALONG THE COAST MAY REACH 40 TO 45 MPH INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY DURING THE TIME WHEN IRENE MAKES ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE IRENE REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND
LARGE SWELLS WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT EROSION AND LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IN VULNERABLE
AREAS. THE THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION WILL LAST THROUGH THE HIGH
TIDE CYCLES FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES
INTO SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 6 AM AND 6 PM. A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

$$






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