[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 241017
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
617 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...IRENE TO EMERGE NORTHWARD FROM THE CARIBBEAN ON THURSDAY AS A
MAJOR HURRICANE...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST INFORMATION HAS BEEN INCLUDED WITHIN
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND WARNING AREAS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC WATERS BETWEEN 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL
MILES FROM JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES FROM
SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES FROM
JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET.

FOR COASTAL INTERESTS...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT
IN EFFECT FOR BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL
A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 670 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 620 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED ON LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF
IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS TODAY
AND OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
IRENE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND IRENE WILL LIKELY BECOME
A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS TODAY AND
THURSDAY...AND EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AS A MAJOR HURRICANE.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FOR LAND AREAS OF EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF IRENE CONTINUES TO
KEEP THE CENTER 200 TO 250 MILES OFFSHORE.

EAST OF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE
LIKELY BEYOND 60 NAUTICAL MILES...AND WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS...BUT MAINLY
BEYOND 20 MILES OFFSHORE. ALSO...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN FAST MOVING RAIN
SQUALLS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO
25 FEET...LEADING TO DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES
OF 8 TO 12 FEET OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AT AREA BEACHES.

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS...AND STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW COULD LEAD TO MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY DURING
THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

THERE IS A LOW BUT NOTABLE THREAT FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING RAIN...AS
WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...MAINLY ALONG THE
COAST ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN OUTER REACHES OF IRENE AS IT
PASSES BY OFFSHORE.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONCERNING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CONCERNING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

AT THE BEACHES...IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU DOWN AND
MAKE YOU SUSCEPTIBLE TO DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING WAVES MAY ALSO
POSE A HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE DAMAGED FROM LARGE
BREAKING WAVES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV AND THEN
CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ575-251030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
617 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET DURING THE PERIOD.

$$

AMZ555-251030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
617 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 40
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR HIGHER WINDS IS
LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF
20 TO 30 KNOTS...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WITHIN
PASSING SQUALLS...FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 12 TO 15 FEET DURING THE PERIOD.

$$

AMZ550-552-570-572-251030-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
617 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 53
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE FRIDAY
EVENING...MAINLY BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. SEAS OFFSHORE WILL
BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET...BUT 12 TO 15 FEET WITHIN THE NEARSHORE
WATERS.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-251030-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
617 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS FOR
THE BEACHES...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO
REVIEW THEIR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A
PLAN...MAKE ONE. FOR COMPLETE INSTRUCTIONS ON HOW TO BEST PREPARE
FOR AN APPROACHING STORM... PLEASE VISIT THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
WEBSITE AT: WWW.READY.GOV.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE PASSES OFFSHORE...PERIODS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF
20 TO 25 MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG COASTAL AREAS. WIND GUSTS IN SQUALLS
MAY REACH 35 TO 45 MPH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AND MAINLY ALONG
THE COAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
IRENE REMAINING OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND LARGE SWELLS
WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
EROSION AND LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO VULNERABLE AREAS.
THE THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION WILL LAST THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE
CYCLES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES DURING
THESE DAYS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 6 AM AND 6 PM ALONG THE
COAST.

AGAIN...IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT BEACHGOERS NOT ENTER THE
HIGH SURF THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$






This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net