[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 23 23:17:53 CDT 2011


WTUS82 KMLB 240418
HLSMLB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IRENE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1218 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE STILL ON TRACK TO IMPACT LOCAL MARINE AND
COASTAL INTERESTS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...ADJUSTMENTS TO WATCH AREAS ARE
NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE ISSUED
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MARINE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FOR LAND AREAS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
ATLANTIC WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET AND OUT 60
NAUTICAL MILES.

FOR COASTAL INTERESTS...ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT
IN EFFECT FOR BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL
A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 710
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA...OR ABOUT 660 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA.

THE STORM MOTION WAS WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CORE OF IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY.

THE STORM INTENSITY WAS 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST AND IRENE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE IRENE IS SET TO APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
OVERNIGHT...AND THEN FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND INTO THE ATLANTIC EAST OF
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A
MAJOR HURRICANE.

THOUGH THERE ARE NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN
EFFECT FOR LAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE CURRENT TRACK
OF IRENE CONTINUES TO KEEP THE CENTER 200 TO 250 MILES OFFSHORE.
IRENE IS EXPECTED TO BRING IMPACTS TO THE COASTAL WATERS AND
LOCAL BEACHES THROUGH LATE WEEK.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
ATLANTIC WATERS BEYOND 60 NAUTICAL MILES...WITH TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...BUT MAINLY BEYOND 20 MILES OFFSHORE. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
IN FAST MOVING RAIN SQUALLS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO
30 FEET...LEADING TO DANGEROUS POUNDING SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES
OF 8 TO 10 FEET OR POSSIBLY HIGHER AT AREA BEACHES.

THE COMBINATION OF LARGE LONG PERIODS SWELLS...AND STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION ALONG AREA
BEACHES. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY DURING
THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

THOUGH THE CURRENT TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER OF IRENE WELL
OFFSHORE...YOU SHOULD STILL REMAIN AWARE OF THIS LARGE HURRICANE
AND BE PREPARED THAT TROPICAL STORM GUSTS MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS
STARTING THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS.

AT THE BEACHES...IT IS RECOMMENDED TO NOT ENTER THE HIGH SURF
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKERS COULD KNOCK YOU
DOWN AND MAKE YOU SUSCEPTIBLE TO DROWNING. THE LARGE BATTERING
WAVES MAY ALSO POSE A HAZARD TO VULNERABLE PIERS WHICH MAY BE
DAMAGED FROM LARGE BREAKING WAVES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ555-575-250430-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.A.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
1218 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 60
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS THURSDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THURSDAY TO LATE FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS ARE
EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 20 TO 25 FEET BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.

$$

AMZ550-552-570-572-250430-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
1218 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE ISSUED ON WEDNESDAY...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO RETURN TO PORT OR
TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR. TAKE EARLY STEPS TO SECURE YOUR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 56
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD START AS
EARLY AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS
NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET ON WEDNESDAY. AS HURRICANE IRENE MOVES
CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO FRIDAY EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD
TO 20 TO 25 FEET BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-250430-
/O.CON.KMLB.HU.S.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
1218 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2011

...HURRICANE IRENE TO BRING DANGEROUS SURF AND BEACH EROSION...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS OPPORTUNITY TO REVIEW YOUR HURRICANE
DISASTER PLAN. IF YOU DO NOT HAVE A PLAN...MAKE ONE. IF YOU NEED
ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR PLAN...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR AMERICAN RED CROSS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE IRENE PASSES OFFSHORE...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25
MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG COASTAL AREAS. WIND GUSTS IN SQUALLS MAY
REACH 35 TO 45 MPH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AND MAINLY ALONG THE
COAST.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO MINIMAL WITH THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE
REMAINING OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...HIGH SURF AND LARGE SWELLS WILL
IMPACT THE BEACHES CAUSING SIGNIFICANT EROSION AND POSSIBLE MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING TO VULNERABLE AREAS. THE THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION
WILL LAST THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. HIGH TIDES DURING THESE DAYS WILL BE AROUND 6 AM
AND 6 PM ALONG THE COAST.

AGAIN...IT IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED THAT BEACHGOERS NOT ENTER THE
HIGH SURF THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$





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