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WTNT33 KNHC 211435
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...HARVEY STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 92.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY SHOULD MOVE
GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...JUST TO THE SOUTH
OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HARVEY IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO
A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ON
MONDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE


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