[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 2 16:54:42 CDT 2011


WTCA82 TJSJ 022153
HLSSJU

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM EMILY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
553 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...EMILY A LITTLE STRONGER...BUT STILL NOT WELL ORGANIZED...

.NEW INFORMATION...
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST
NORTHWEST.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...NORTHEAST...SOUTHEAST...EASTERN
INTERIOR...NORTH CENTRAL...CENTRAL INTERIOR...PONCE AND
VICINITY...NORTHWEST...WESTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...
SOUTHWEST...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...AND ST CROIX.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 190
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF PONCE PR...OR ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
SAINT CROIX. STORM MOTION WAS WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12
MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 50 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AT 500 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST. EMILY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THE CORE OF EMILY IS EXPECTED TO
STAY OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS...BUT OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE
ADJACENT ISLANDS...ST CROIX...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND MAINLAND
PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY MORNING...
WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED DURING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINBANDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS...STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS. TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
INTERIOR...SOUTH AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINBANDS WILL ALSO
BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.

HAVE A WELL-CHARGED CELL PHONE NEARBY...KEEPING NETWORK
COMMUNICATIONS AS OPEN AS POSSIBLE FOR EMERGENCIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...
AND ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO YOUR SITUATION ACCORDING TO
MARITIME PROTOCOL. IF APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY
DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...
AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 930 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

AMZ710-712-715-722-725-732-735-741-742-745-PRZ001>013-032200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ATLC WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND USVI FROM 10NM TO 19.5N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN USVI AND CULEBRA OUT 10 NM-
ANEGADA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN USVI VIEQUES AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
OUT 10 NM-CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10 NM TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
MONA PASSAGE SOUTHWARD TO 17N-
COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO OUT 10 NM-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
553 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
DESPITE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. RAIN BANDS WITH
EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED DURING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINBANDS...IN
COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL CAUSE RAPID RIVER
RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY CONTINUES MOVING WEST NORTHWEST...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS
EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO AT LEAST 50
MPH.

ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY BRINGS INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS BEGINNING FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MODERATE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING COASTS.
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED. ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIEQUES...
VERY ROUGH SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES APPROACHING 12 FEET...WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WAVE ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN
NORMAL WATER LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND
PRODUCE MINOR BEACH EROSION.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA AND THEN PASSES
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES
AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$

VIZ001-002-032200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
553 PM AST TUE AUG 2 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...INLAND FLOODING...
DESPITE MINOR CHANGES TO THE TRACK...THE CORE OF EMILY IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS. RAIN BANDS WITH
EMBEDDED TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
AND MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF THE THIS EVENING INTO AT LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THESE RAINBANDS...IN COMBINATION WITH ALREADY SATURATED
SOILS WILL CAUSE RAPID RIVER RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND GUTS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MUDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOW ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY CONTINUES PASSING SOUTH OF THE LOCAL
ISLANDS TONIGHT...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
CONTINUE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW
TROPICAL STORM FORCE. ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY
ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AS TROPICAL STORM EMILY BRINGS
INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS BEGINNING FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THROUGH FRIDAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE IMPACT FROM COMBINED STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS IS EXPECTED
TO BE MODERATE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTH FACING COASTS.
TOTAL WATER RISES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ARE EXPECTED. IN ADDITION TO
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...HIGH SURF...AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED. ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF ST CROIX...AND TO A LESSER
EXTENT ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...VERY ROUGH
SURF WITH BREAKING WAVES APPROACHING 12 FEET...WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WAVE
ACTION SURGING UPON THE COASTLINE AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL WATER
LEVELS MAY POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY AND PRODUCE MINOR
BEACH EROSION.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS...AS THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
EMILY CONTINUES TO PASS SOUTH OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS TONIGHT.
REMEMBER...TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP MANY MILES AWAY FROM THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.

$$


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