[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 290952
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS
MORNING AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 APPROACHES...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD...COASTAL
MIAMI DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3N...LONGITUDE 81.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT
190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-
NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM TODAY WILL BE PERIODS OF VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING, AS WELL AS
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO NEAR OR AT TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BANDS OF
VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH SQUALLS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL MOVE
THROUGH MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES THROUGH LATE MORNING, THEN
ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. IT IS WITH THESE BANDS THAT THE WORST CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ARE EXPECTED. SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL FLOODING THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND USE EXTREME CAUTION ON AREA ROADWAYS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ACROSS
THE AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS MOVING
ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, AS
WELL AS VERY MINOR TIDAL INUNDATION ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
BARRIER ISLANDS.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO PROTECT
PROPERTY FROM POSSIBLE FLOODING TODAY. BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INSIDE FROM
TROPICAL STORM FORCE SQUALLS.

MOTORISTS ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION THIS MORNING
AND AVOID AREAS OF STANDING WATER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE SQUALLS
CAN BE DANGEROUS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES, PARTICULARLY ON
BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS AND OVERPASSES.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD HAVE
PREPARATIONS COMPLETED. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND
WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG, READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE
AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FLZ168-172>174-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS WILL SWEEP ACROSS AREA TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES, WIND AND FLOODING SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 25 TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS. AS THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES TODAY...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IF THE SYSTEM
INTENSIFIES...OR GETS BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM WINDS WRAPPED
CLOSER TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS DO NOT REPRESENT A THREAT TO LIFE
OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER...IF ACTUAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA...MINOR DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO MANY
MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES
MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THOSE WINDS
WOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES
AND LANAI SCREENS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME
PROJECTILES, CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS COULD BECOME
DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE
GROUND LINES. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS COULD BE DAMAGED
OR UPROOTED. SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS COULD BREAK
OFF TREES. SOME PALM FRONDS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAIN BANDS
WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
EXPECTED. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. MINOR
STREET FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING OVER MOST OF THE COASTAL
SECTIONS OF METRO SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
EXPECTED TODAY MAY LEAD TO POSSIBLE STREET CLOSURES AND WATER
ENTERING BUILDINGS. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR
LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR OR IF
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-300600-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS WILL SWEEP ACROSS AREA TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES, WIND AND FLOODING SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 25 TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS AND SQUALLS. AS THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES TODAY...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY IF THE SYSTEM
INTENSIFIES...OR GETS BETTER ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM WINDS WRAPPED
CLOSER TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS DO NOT REPRESENT A THREAT TO LIFE
OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER...IF ACTUAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPERIENCED ACROSS THE AREA...MINOR DAMAGE COULD OCCUR TO MANY
MOBILE HOMES, ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES
MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THOSE WINDS
WOULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES
AND LANAI SCREENS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME
PROJECTILES, CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS COULD BECOME
DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES COULD BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WOULD BE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH ABOVE
GROUND LINES. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS COULD BE DAMAGED
OR UPROOTED. SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS COULD BREAK
OFF TREES. SOME PALM FRONDS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAIN BANDS
WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR
EXPECTED. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. MINOR
STREET FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF METRO SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA, AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY MAY LEAD TO
POSSIBLE STREET CLOSURES AND WATER ENTERING BUILDINGS. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF
FLOODING RAINS OCCUR OR IF FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

$$

FLZ075-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES AND WIND SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO 18
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS AND SEAS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 32
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING THROUGH
MIDDAY...WITH RAPIDLY BUILDING SEAS PARTICULARLY IN HEAVY RAIN
BANDS AND SQUALLS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD WATERS, AND THIS EVENING
OVER THE PALM BEACH WATERS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE 30 TO 40 KNOT RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.

THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY, WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHERN
WATERS AND THIS EVENING OVER NORTHERN WATERS.

$$

GMZ657-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS AND SEAS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO 12
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE. HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-301000-
/O.CON.KMFL.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
552 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...MAIN IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 TO REMAIN EAST OF
AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS AND SEAS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED SHOULD
ADVERSE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST OCCUR.

$$

MOLLEDA



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