[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 290946
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
546 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVING INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS...
WILL PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE UPPER KEYS...MONROE MIDDLE KEYS AND MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MARATHON. THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE
NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WILL CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS THIS MORNING...THEN PASS NEAR
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO STRENGTHEN TO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON...MOVING ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA AND EMERGING OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST BY LATE THIS
EVENING. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE BULK OF THE STRONG WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...HOWEVER OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE LIKELY IN SQUALLS TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED SITUATION OVERVIEW.
UPDATED WINDS.
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.
UPDATED TORNADOES.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS.
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

.WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS THROUGH TODAY...WITH MOST OF THE SQUALLS
AFFECTING THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW 25 MPH OUTSIDE OF SQUALL ACTIVITY THROUGH TODAY. HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES AND TRAILERS MAY BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL OVER BRIDGES DURING
THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FIRST ACROSS THE LOWER
KEYS BY LATE THIS MORNING...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING ACROSS THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES
NORTH OF OUR AREA.

.STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED DURING THIS EVENT.

.RAINFALL IMPACTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER TOTALS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE
LOWER KEYS SHOULD BE MAINLY 1 INCH OR LESS. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS
OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS THROUGH
THIS MORNING...CAUSING PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON
SOME ROADWAYS. PORTIONS OF THE UPPER KEYS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2 TO
3 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.TORNADOES...
AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS MORNING WITHIN
RAIN BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS. THE CHANCES FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL DECREASE TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS.

.MARINE IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 35 TO 45
KNOTS WITHIN SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF
THE UPPER KEYS AS WELL AS IN FLORIDA BAY. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND
20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OFF THE LOWER KEYS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 11 FEET...WITH HIGHER SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM. THE
HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WATERS OFFSHORE
FROM THE UPPER KEYS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS ARE PLANNED FOR KEYS RESIDENTS OR VISITORS. NO
SHELTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OPENED. ANY LOOSE AND OR LIGHT OBJECTS
INCLUDING GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE SHOULD BE TIED DOWN OR
BROUGHT INSIDE. ALL PEOPLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND
ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO THE UNITED STATES COAST GUARD. IF
APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT
EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

FLZ076>078-300000-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
546 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
UPDATED WINDS.
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.
UPDATED TORNADOES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS ARE PLANNED FOR KEYS RESIDENTS OR VISITORS. NO
SHELTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OPENED. ANY LOOSE AND OR LIGHT OBJECTS
INCLUDING GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE SHOULD BE TIED DOWN OR
BROUGHT INSIDE. ALL PEOPLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THERE IS A 16 PERCENT CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT MARATHON...WITH ONLY A 4 PERCENT CHANCE IN KEY WEST.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS THROUGH TODAY...WITH THE SQUALLS MAINLY AFFECTING
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 25 MPH
OUTSIDE OF SQUALL ACTIVITY THROUGH TODAY. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND
TRAILERS MAY BE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL OVER BRIDGES DURING THE HEAVIEST
SQUALLS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FIRST ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS BY LATE
THIS MORNING...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
KEYS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES NORTH OF OUR AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED DURING THIS EVENT.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER TOTALS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE
LOWER KEYS SHOULD BE MAINLY 1 INCH OR LESS. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS
OF 2 INCHES AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS THROUGH
THIS MORNING...CAUSING PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ON
SOME ROADWAYS. PORTIONS OF THE UPPER KEYS HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED 2 TO
3 INCHES OF RAIN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

...TORNADOES...
AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS MORNING WITHIN
RAIN BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS. THE CHANCES FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL DECREASE TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS.

$$

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-300000-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
546 AM EDT WED SEP 29 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.
UPDATED PROBABILITIES.
UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS.
UPDATED TORNADOES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS ARE PLANNED FOR KEYS RESIDENTS OR VISITORS. NO
SHELTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OPENED. ANY LOOSE AND OR LIGHT OBJECTS
INCLUDING GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE SHOULD BE TIED DOWN OR
BROUGHT INSIDE. ALL PEOPLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR SMALL CRAFT WHO FAILED TO MAKE IT TO SAFE HARBOR OR PORT...AND
ARE NOW IN DISTRESS...RADIO THE UNITED STATES COAST GUARD. IF
APPROPRIATE...DEPLOY YOUR EMERGENCY DISTRESS BEACON. ENSURE THAT
EVERYONE IS WEARING LIFE JACKETS...AND SURVIVAL SUITS IF AVAILABLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THERE IS A 16 PERCENT CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AT MARATHON...WITH ONLY A 4 PERCENT CHANCE IN KEY WEST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 35 TO 45
KNOTS WITHIN SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF
THE UPPER KEYS AS WELL AS IN FLORIDA BAY. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND
20 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OFF THE LOWER KEYS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF
WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 11 FEET...WITH HIGHER SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM. THE
HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WATERS OFFSHORE
FROM THE UPPER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...
AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS MORNING WITHIN
RAIN BANDS...MAINLY ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS. THE CHANCES FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL DECREASE TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS.

$$

JACOBSON



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