[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 290046
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
846 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN MOVING TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST
TOWARD WESTERN CUBA...FORECAST TO PASS NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS ON
WEDNESDAY...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE UPPER KEYS...MONROE MIDDLE KEYS AND MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
ALL OF FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 220
MILES SOUTH OF KEY WEST. THE DEPRESSION WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 MPH...HOWEVER
MOST OF THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WERE OCCURRING A COUPLE
HUNDRED MILES TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT...EMERGING INTO THE FLORIDA
STRAITS EARLY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN TO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR JUST EAST
OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS ON WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY...MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST FLORIDA LATER ON
WEDNESDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE BULK OF THE STRONG WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.
GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
UPDATED SITUATION OVERVIEW.
UPDATED WINDS.
UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE.
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.
UPDATED MARINE IMPACTS.

.WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN FROM
THE EAST AROUND 15 MPH THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY INCREASING TO BETWEEN
15 AND 25 MPH LATE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE
IN AND NEAR SQUALLS. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND SQUALLS WILL BE LIKELY
DURING THE MORNING TO MIDDAY HOURS...WITH ACTIVITY EXITING TO THE
NORTH OF THE KEYS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED DURING THIS EVENT.

.RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT...
WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS...WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

.TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STRAY TORNADO WITHIN A RAIN BAND LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.MARINE IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING SHOULD INCREASE
TO AROUND 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT...THEN POSSIBLY INCREASE TO BETWEEN
20 AND 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS ON
WEDNESDAY. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET...WITH
HIGHER SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM...LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS ARE PLANNED FOR KEYS RESIDENTS OR VISITORS. NO
SHELTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OPENED. ANY LOOSE AND OR LIGHT OBJECTS
INCLUDING GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE SHOULD BE TIED DOWN OR
BROUGHT INSIDE. ALL PEOPLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 12 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF
NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-300000-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
846 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS ARE PLANNED FOR KEYS RESIDENTS OR VISITORS. NO
SHELTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OPENED. ANY LOOSE AND OR LIGHT OBJECTS
INCLUDING GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE SHOULD BE TIED DOWN OR
BROUGHT INSIDE. ALL PEOPLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THERE IS A 23 PERCENT CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT
MARATHON...WITH ONLY A 11 PERCENT CHANCE IN KEY WEST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
SUSTAINED EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS EVENING SHOULD INCREASE
AROUND 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT...THEN POSSIBLY INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20
AND 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS ON
WEDNESDAY. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET...WITH
HIGHER SEAS IN THE GULF STREAM...LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STRAY TORNADO WITHIN A RAIN BAND LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

FLZ076>078-300000-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
846 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS.
UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE.
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NO EVACUATION ORDERS ARE PLANNED FOR KEYS RESIDENTS OR VISITORS. NO
SHELTERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OPENED. ANY LOOSE AND OR LIGHT OBJECTS
INCLUDING GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE SHOULD BE TIED DOWN OR
BROUGHT INSIDE. ALL PEOPLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THERE IS A 23 PERCENT CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT
MARATHON...WITH ONLY A 11 PERCENT CHANCE IN KEY WEST.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN FROM
THE EAST AROUND 15 MPH THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY INCREASING TO BETWEEN
15 AND 25 MPH LATE TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE POSSIBLE
IN AND NEAR SQUALLS. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND SQUALLS WILL BE LIKELY
DURING THE MORNING TO MIDDAY HOURS...WITH ACTIVITY EXITING TO THE
NORTH OF THE KEYS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED DURING THIS EVENT.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT...
WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS THE UPPER KEYS...WITH LESSER
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STRAY TORNADO WITHIN A RAIN BAND LATE
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

JACOBSON



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