[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 281658
HLSMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 FORMS IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN.
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS POSTED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MAINLAND MONROE...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL
BROWARD...COASTAL MIAMI DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND
BROWARD...METRO BROWARD...INLAND MIAMI DADE AND METRO MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO OCEAN REEF, INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY. THE WARNING ALSO EXTENDS ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF
FLORIDA BAY FROM THE CARD SOUND ROAD BRIDGE TO CAPE SABLE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE GULF WATERS FROM CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SPECIFIED
AREAS.

ALL PERSONS IN THE WATCH AREAS SHOULD REVISE THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLAN AND BE READY TO IMPLEMENT IT SHOULD A WARNING BE ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA.

IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND
THE TERMINOLOGY AND DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE
EVENTS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT
MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6N...LONGITUDE 82.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 390
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FL...OR ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH OF
NAPLES FL. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHEAST 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO BE RAINFALL
FLOODING AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST
TRACK AND INTENSITY, HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DURING
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO THE RATHER DISORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM, IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT MOST OF THE IMPACTS WILL BE ON THE
EAST SIDE. THIS MEANS THAT ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT EAST OF THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK WILL RESULT IN THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND STRONGEST WINDS
REMAINING OFFSHORE. NEVERTHELESS, SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FIRST SIGNIFICANT FLOODING TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY, AND SECOND THE POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY PARTICULARLY ALONG THE
EAST COAST METRO AND COASTAL AREAS.

THERE IS AT THIS TIME ONLY A MINOR CONCERN FOR SLIGHT RISK OF WEAK
TORNADOES ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND SOME MINOR
TIDAL INUNDATION ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD COMPLETE
PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE
FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL BEFORE LEAVING. BE
SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY
FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU CAN ALSO GO
TO READY.GOV, FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT
REDCROSS.ORG OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND 6 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FLZ168-172>174-291700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WIND SECTIONS.
UPDATED INLAND FLOODING SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
24 TO 32 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LATE IN THE MORNING OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON PRECEDED BY PERIODS OF WINDY CONDITIONS.
MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

POTENTIAL IMPACT: THESE WINDS REPRESENT A LIMITED THREAT TO LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES,
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT ARE UNANCHORED. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR
DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING CARPORTS, AWNINGS, POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS.

UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND, POSSIBLY
CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. WINDS WILL BECOME DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN, AND ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH
ABOVE GROUND LINES.

MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SMALL BRANCHES AND NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL BREAK OFF TREES.
MANY PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE 2 TO 3 TIMES HIGHER THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED
AREAS. THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.


$$

FLZ067-068-071>074-291700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100930T0600Z/
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-
INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WIND SECTIONS.
UPDATED INLAND FLOODING SECTION.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 30 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. IF THIS THREAT
MATERIALIZES IT WOULD HAPPEN WITHIN THE NEXT DAY. THEREFORE...THE
AREA HAS BEEN PLACED UNDER A WARNING. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF PATTERNS OF REPEATED
RAINFALL OVER THE SAME AREAS DEVELOP THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
ACTUALLY BE 2 TO 3 TIMES HIGHER THAN FORECAST IN VERY LOCALIZED
AREAS. THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING
RAINS OCCUR.

$$

FLZ075-291700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.1016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MAINLAND MONROE-
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WIND AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
16 TO 26 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
APPROACHES...STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

$$

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-291700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
27 TO 35 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL STORM
FORCE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE WINDS SPREADING
NORTHWARD FROM THAT POINT ON. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE
FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SEAS OF 10 TO 15 FEET WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS POSSIBLE. THE WORST SEAS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

$$

GMZ657-291700-
/O.CON.KMFL.TR.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS AND PROBABILITY SECTIONS.


...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 25 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN PASSES NEARBY...THE THREAT FOR
SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS SHOULD NOT INCREASE.  HOWEVER...THERE IS
STILL SOME POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE
THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.


$$

AMZ610-FLZ063-066-069-070-GMZ656-676-291700-
/O.NEW.KMFL.HU.S.0001.100928T1658Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1258 PM EDT TUE SEP 28 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 EFFECTS LIKELY TO REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PROBABILITY AND WINDS SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
AS CURRENTLY ASSESSED...THE ONSET OF EITHER TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS IS UNLIKELY TO OCCUR.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.
HOWEVER...CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS IN CASE
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES OCCUR.

$$






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