[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KCRP 061906
HLSCRP

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
206 PM CDT MON SEP 6 2010

...TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN
PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND CALHOUN.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...DUVAL...JIM WELLS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS. PLEASE
LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN EFFECT FOR
YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.1N...LONGITUDE 96.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 245 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS TX.

STORM MOTION WAS NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH. STORM
INTENSITY WAS 60 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT JUST SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...TEXAS. HERMINE IS
EXPECTED TO BE A STRONG TROPICAL STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME
POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE BEFORE IT
MAKES LANDFALL. HERMINE WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
NORTH-NORTHWEST ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT...BUT IT IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A WEAK TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY ON TUESDAY. AT LEAST
MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
COASTAL BEND AND THE WESTERN ADJACENT INLAND COUNTIES AS FAR WEST
AS DUVAL COUNTY...HOWEVER THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL
BE FROM FLOODING AS COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE SPREADS INTO SOUTH
TEXAS NEAR THE CENTER AND ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM. EVEN
THOUGH THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE AT AROUND
15 MPH...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED 12 INCH
TOTALS ARE STILL LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL BEND AND
ADJACENT COASTAL PLAINS COUNTIES AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH
COUNTRY. IN ADDITION A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REGION MAINLY LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED WITH WATER LEVELS REACHING 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MSL ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MSL IN
THE BAYS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE MAIN THREAT FROM HERMINE WILL BE FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING. MANY SECONDARY ROADS AND SOME HIGHWAYS MAY BECOME
FLOODED DURING THIS EVENT AND TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY IS
DISCOURAGED. CREEKS AND RIVERS IN THE AREA WILL LIKELY BECOME
FLOODED AS WELL...AND RESIDENTS LOCATED IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD
BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

RESIDENTS LOCATED IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. SECURING LOOSE ITEMS THAT
MIGHT BE BLOWN ABOUT BY STRONG WINDS BY THIS EVENING. ANYONE STAYING IN
TENTS AT LOCAL CAMP GROUNDS SHOULD SEEK STURDY SHELTER BY THIS
EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO PRODUCE
DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND CAMPERS
LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. WORKERS PERFORMING ANY CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES
SENSITIVE TO STRONG WINDS SHOULD GET FREQUENT UPDATES AND BE
PREPARED END SUCH ACTIVITIES AS NEEDED. ANY EQUIPMENT OR CRANES
SENSITIVE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BE SECURED TONIGHT
IN ADVANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WHICH MAY BEGIN AS EARLY
AS LATE TONIGHT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI AROUND 6 PM CDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

TXZ242>247-070000-
/O.CON.KCRP.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100908T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
206 PM CDT MON SEP 6 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
TUESDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THIS STATEMENT WILL UPDATE THE INITIAL ABBREVIATED HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT ISSUANCE. SPECIFICS REGARDING PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS...STORM SURGE...FLASH FLOODING AND
TORNADOES HAVE BEEN INCLUDED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 74
PERCENT...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCES REMAINING SOUTH OF PORT
ARANSAS. TROPICAL STORM WINDS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS LATE
TONIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. EVENT
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 12
INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA WITH MUCH OF THIS RAIN OCCURRING
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS
FOR YOUR LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
GIVEN CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS...STORM SURGE IN THE
COASTAL BEND SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW RANGING FROM 2 TO 4
FEET. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH EXPECTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL
PRODUCE WATERS LEVELS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL AT AREA BEACHES AND 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN
THE BAYS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

THESE WATER LEVELS WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ACROSS THE REGION. BEACHES...BEACH ACCESS ROADS...AS WELL AS SOME
PARKING LOTS AND PICNIC AREAS WILL BE FLOODED ALONG THE BARRIER
ISLANDS.

SOME OF THE MORE LOW LYING ROADS...WATERFRONT BAIT STANDS AND
AREAS TYPICALLY IMPACTED BY COASTAL FLOODED ALONG AREA BAYS WILL
ALSO LIKELY BECOME FLOODED. SOME OF THESE AREAS INCLUDE ROADS
BETWEEN MAGNOLIA BEACH AND INDIANOLA...LOWEST AREAS OF INGLESIDE
BY THE BAY...AND PORTIONS OF NORTH BEACH AND LAGUNA SHORES DRIVE
IN CORPUS CHRISTI.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE MAIN
THREAT OCCURRING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

TXZ240-241-070000-
/O.CON.KCRP.TI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100908T0000Z/
DUVAL-JIM WELLS-
206 PM CDT MON SEP 6 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT
TUESDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THIS STATEMENT WILL UPDATE THE INITIAL ABBREVIATED HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT ISSUANCE. SPECIFICS REGARDING PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS...STORM SURGE...FLASH FLOODING AND
TORNADOES HAVE BEEN INCLUDED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 72 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM WINDS COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS
LATE TONIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. EVENT
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 12
INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN THE AREA WITH MUCH OF THIS RAIN OCCURRING
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SEE LATEST FORECAST FOR LATEST
INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR YOUR
LOCATION...AND BE READY TO ACT IF FLOODING RAINS OCCUR.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE MAIN
THREAT OCCURRING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-070000-
/O.CON.KCRP.TR.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
206 PM CDT MON SEP 6 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THIS STATEMENT WILL UPDATE THE INITIAL ABBREVIATED HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT ISSUANCE. SPECIFICS REGARDING PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS AND SEAS AND TORNADOES HAVE
BEEN INCLUDED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH THE
DURATION OF THIS EVENT. BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETE THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 73
PERCENT...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE BEING ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF
PORT ARANSAS.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS TROPICAL STORM HERMINE APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TONIGHT. SEAS ARE CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO REACH 13 TO 17 FEET WITH THIS EVENT WITH THE PEAK
OCCURRING TUESDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE MAIN
THREAT OCCURRING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

MJG



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net