[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 3 17:50:07 CDT 2010


WTUS81 KOKX 032249
HLSOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...HURRICANE EARL REMAINS LARGE BUT IS LOSING ITS PUNCH...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.2N...LONGITUDE 71.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHEAST...OR 35 DEGREES...AT
22 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY FRIDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS
EXTREME EASTERN LONG ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE
ADJACENT WATERS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
NOW BE COMPLETE.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 9 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

NYZ078>081-041100-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS
THAN OR EQUAL TO 44 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY ACROSS FAR EASTERN
LONG ISLAND. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND
OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY MAY BE BLOWN AROUND. ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
POCKETS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE THIS EVENING ACROSS LONG ISLAND SOUND...PECONIC AND GARDINERS
BAYS.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES...BREAKING AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 FT ON THE OCEAN BY
THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION...WITH
WASHOVERS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LONG
ISLAND. HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE...
WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND AT
OCEAN BEACHES.

$$

ANZ330-340-041100-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS EQUAL TO
OR LESS THAN 43 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL
BUILD TO AROUND 10 FT ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND 2 TO
4 FT IN PECONIC AND GARDENERS BAY.

$$

ANZ355-040000-
/O.CAN.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

ANZ350-353-041100-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS EQUAL TO
OR LESS THAN 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE OPEN WATERS SOUTH OF
MONTAUK.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 13 TO 17 FT THIS EVENING...AND START TO
SUBSIDE SLOWLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

ANZ345-041100-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS
THAN OR EQUAL TO 27 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A DOWNWARD TEND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY EAST OF
MORICHES INLET. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 35
KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE BAY.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FT BY THIS EVENING.

$$

CTZ010>012-041100-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
649 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAS DECREASED.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS
THAN OR EQUAL TO 33 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL DOWNWARD
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
POCKETS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE THIS EVENING ACROSS LONG ISLAND SOUND.

$$






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