[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KOKX 031826
HLSOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WILL PASS EAST OF THE AREA THIS
EVENING...IMPACTS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT
COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK...NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK...SOUTHWESTERN
SUFFOLK AND SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND CONNECTICUT COASTAL WATERS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.5N...LONGITUDE 72.5W. THIS WAS ABOUT 240 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW YORK CITY NY...OR ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF
MONTAUK POINT NY. STORM MOTION WAS NORTH NORTHEAST...OR 30
DEGREES AT 21 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES
EAST OF MONTAUK POINT ON LONG ISLAND...OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF
NEW YORK CITY FRIDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST IMPACTS WILL BE ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND...SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE ADJACENT
WATERS.

WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES CAN BE FELT HUNDREDS OF MILES AWAY
FROM THE CENTER.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOR
INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS
UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 7 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

NYZ078>081-041830-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 73
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LOOSE ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND
OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY MAY BE BLOWN AROUND. ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES EAST OF THE AREA...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS AT THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC
AND GARDINERS BAY. HIGH TIDE ACROSS SUFFOLK COUNTY OCCURS AROUND
4PM EDT ON THE OCEAN...AND 7 PM EDT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES...BREAKING AS HIGH AS 15 TO 20 FT ON THE OCEAN BY
THIS EVENING WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH EROSION...WITH
WASHOVERS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LONG
ISLAND. HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE...
WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND AT
OCEAN BEACHES.

$$

ANZ330-340-041830-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 71
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. SEAS WILL BUILD TO AROUND 10 FT ACROSS EASTERN LONG
ISLAND SOUND...AND 2 TO 4 FT IN PECONIC AND GARDENERS BAY.

$$

ANZ350-353-041830-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 84
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 KNOTS. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE OPEN WATERS SOUTH OF
MONTAUK.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 12 TO 17 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND START TO
SUBSIDE SLOWLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

ANZ355-041830-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 51
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ345-041830-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED
SECURING THEIR CRAFT BY THIS TIME.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 61
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
45 KNOTS. THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE BAY.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FT BY THIS EVENING.

$$

CTZ010>012-041830-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
226 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 61
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES EAST OF THE AREA...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS AT THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE.

HIGH TIDE ACROSS LONG ISLAND SOUND IS AROUND 7 PM.

$$




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