[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KBOX 030356 PAA
HLSBOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL MOVING NORTHWARD OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA...SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH
MA...BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA AND NANTUCKET MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...EASTERN ESSEX MA...SUFFOLK MA AND EASTERN NORFOLK MA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI...EASTERN KENT RI...BRISTOL RI...
WASHINGTON RI...NEWPORT RI AND BLOCK ISLAND RI.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.
PLEASE LISTEN CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MIGHT BE IN
EFFECT FOR YOUR AREA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8N...LONGITUDE 74.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 570 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MA. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 15
DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL HAS WEAKENED TO A STRONG CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AND
IS MOVING NORTH OFF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. EARL IS EXPECTED
TO TURN NORTHEAST FRIDAY AND PASS 50 TO 100 MILES SOUTH OF
NANTUCKET FRIDAY NIGHT.

EARL WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IT MOVES
OVER COOLER WATERS...AND IS EXPECTED TO BE A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE
AS IT MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET FRIDAY NIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS FOR THE
PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO DO SO BY
LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR
FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAUNTON AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

MAZ007-015-016-040400-
/O.UPG.KBOX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 50 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
A PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY
DIMINISH TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST. A
STORM SURGE UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE WITH SOME SPLASHOVER DURING
THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF
THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG WITH AREAS OF MINOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING. A FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 1 TO 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THE WORST OF THE HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. EARL WILL EXIT
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND
DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY AND
THEN SLOWLY EASING SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. BEACH GOERS
SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS BEFORE
ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE
BEACH CLOSURES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ230-250-251-040400-
/O.UPG.KBOX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 71 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS. THE PERIOD OF
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM 8 PM FRIDAY INTO THE PREDAWN
HOURS OF SATURDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO
NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS OVER THE OUTER WATERS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 10 FEET FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

MAZ019>024-040400-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 22
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE GREATEST RISK FOR A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TO 75 MPH WILL BE OVER NANTUCKET AND POSSIBLY THE OUTER CAPE. THE
MORE LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 TO 85 MPH...STRONGEST OVER
NANTUCKET. FOR THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND
COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL
WHERE THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR A FEW GUSTS TO HURRICANE
FORCE.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM AROUND 8 PM
FRIDAY INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS AND THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH TOWARD
SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE
OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CAPE COD AND
THE ISLANDS. THEREFORE EXPECT AT LEAST SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES
ACROSS CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST. A
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING ALONG
VULNERABLE PORTIONS OF THE NANTUCKET...CHATHAM AND MARTHAS
VINEYARD SHORELINE DURING THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE.

A STORM SURGE UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE REST OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS COAST WITH SPLASHOVER POSSIBLE DURING HIGH TIDE.

MINOR STORM SURGE FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE FOR WELLFLEET AND
PROVINCETOWN HARBORS AFTER EARL PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF
THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG WITH AREAS OF MINOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING. A FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 1 TO 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND AND NORTHEAST MA.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THE WORST OF THE HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. EARL WILL EXIT
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND
DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY AND
THEN SLOWLY EASING SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. BEACH GOERS
SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS BEFORE
ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE
BEACH CLOSURES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ231>234-254-255-040400-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 28
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 88 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 65 KT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS SURROUNDING CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...INCLUDING CAPE COD
BAY...BUZZARDS BAY...VINEYARD SOUND AND NANTUCKET SOUND. THE
GREATEST RISK FOR GUSTS UP TO 90 KT WILL BE ACROSS THE WATERS
SOUTH AND EAST OF NANTUCKET. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40
TO 50 KT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL
WATERS.

THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM 8 PM FRIDAY INTO
THE PREDAWN HOURS OF SATURDAY AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH BY SATURDAY
MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 20 TO 25 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
NIGHT ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD.
SEAS WILL REMAIN TURBULENT SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH
SOUTHEAST SWELLS OF 10 TO 15 FT ACROSS THE WATERS EAST OF CAPE
COD AND NANTUCKET.

$$

RIZ002-004>008-040400-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 63 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS. THE STRONGEST GUSTS TO 60 MPH
SHOULD BE CONFINED TO BLOCK ISLAND.  WINDS WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH
TOWARD SATURDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION AND TIMING...STORM SURGE
FLOODING IS NOT A MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND COAST. A
STORM SURGE UP TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND COAST
WITH SOME SPLASHOVER POSSIBLE DURING THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH
TIDE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF
THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG WITH AREAS OF MINOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING. A FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 1 TO 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
THE WORST OF THE HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. EARL WILL EXIT
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND
DESPITE IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF
AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TO PERSIST INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY AND
THEN SLOWLY EASING SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY. BEACH GOERS
SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND LIFEGUARDS BEFORE
ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE
BEACH CLOSURES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ235>237-256-040400-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 19
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 82 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS...STRONGEST OVER THE
WATERS SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR FROM 8 PM FRIDAY INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS OF SATURDAY
AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS
WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. SEAS UP TO 15 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND.

$$

MAZ017-018-040400-
/O.CON.KBOX.TI.W.0001.100903T1800Z-100904T1000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
1156 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY
TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED ALL SECTIONS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 62 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD
CANAL. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR FROM AROUND 8 PM
FRIDAY INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS AND THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH TOWARD
SATURDAY MORNING.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES. MUCH OF
THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 6 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING ALONG WITH AREAS OF MINOR SMALL STREAM FLOODING. A FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

$$





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