[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 2 22:15:09 CDT 2010


WTUS81 KCAR 030314
HLSCAR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1114 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES ON A NORTH TO NORTHEAST TRACK UP THE
EAST COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN MAINE...
COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO EASTPORT ME OUT 25 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL HANCOCK...COASTAL WASHINGTON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO EASTPORT ME OUT
25 NM.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INTERIOR HANCOCK...CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN
WASHINGTON.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK...CENTRAL
PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.8N...LONGITUDE 74.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 780 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF STONINGTON ME...OR ABOUT 860 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF EASTPORT ME. STORM MOTION WAS NNE OR 15
DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 105 MPH.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS
FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF DIRECTED TO
DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND
MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO
YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE
ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE
LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES
AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED. FOR
THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY
AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CARIBOU AROUND 5 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

MEZ006-011-040315-
/O.CON.KCAR.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-
1114 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...EARL TO AFFECT PARTS OF EASTERN MAINE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A POSITION OFF
CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING THE WESTERN TIP
OF NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EARL WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE MARITIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
CURRENTLY THE PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO
KEEP TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EAST OF THE AREA. HOWEVER
UNLIKELY...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK
AND ANY TURN FARTHER TO THE WEST COULD AFFECT THE AREA WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY NOT IN
EFFECT...NOR ARE THEY LIKELY UNDER PRESENT CIRCUMSTANCES.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL
STORM FORCE. AT THIS TIME...REMAIN CALM AND STAY INFORMED.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
SOME PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS FLOODING COULD
BE POSSIBLE.

$$

MEZ029-030-040315-
/O.UPG.KCAR.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.TR.W.1007.100903T0314Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
1114 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A POSITION OFF
CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING THE WESTERN TIP
OF NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EARL WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE MARITIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED OR NEAR COMPLETION. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY CONSIDER
EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF ORDERED BY
LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
BETWEEN 4 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND NOONTIME SATURDAY. THE HIGHEST
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE AND OUTER ISLANDS
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. PREPARE FOR THE
LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE POWER
OUTAGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BREAKING WAVES WILL PEAK ON SATURDAY AT 10 TO 15 FEET. STORM
SURGE WILL ALSO PEAK AT THIS TIME AT 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
ALONG THE COAST AND IN AREAS PRONE TO SURGE. THE SURGE COMBINED
WITH LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CAUSE MINOR BEACH EROSION AND
OVERWASH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
SOME PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS FLOODING COULD
BE POSSIBLE.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEAS FROM HURRICANE EARL ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 20 FEET ON
SATURDAY RESULTING IN DANGEROUS SPLASH OVER AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING OF SOME COASTAL ROADS. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND
HIGHS SEAS ALONG THE COAST WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS HIGH SURF. THE
HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCING OVER-TOPPING WAVES ALONG THE
SHORELINE AND RIP CURRENTS. PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN AWAY FROM
ROCKS...SEA WALLS OR JETTIES. THE SIZE OF THE INCOMING WAVES WILL
VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT PERIODS OF TIME AND YOU CAN BE UNEXPECTEDLY
WASHED INTO THE OCEAN, LARGE WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE RIP
CURRENTS. RIP CURRENTS ARE STRONG BUT NARROW CURRENTS OF WATER
FLOWING FROM THE BEACH TO THE SURF ZONE. IT CAN RAPIDLY CARRY A
SWIMMER INTO DEEPER WATER AND EXHAUST AN INDIVIDUAL TRYING TO SWIM
AGAINST IT.

$$

MEZ016-017-032-040315-
/O.CON.KCAR.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100904T2200Z/
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
1114 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A POSITION OFF
CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING THE WESTERN TIP
OF NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EARL WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE MARITIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE
BLOWN AROUND. STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...AND DO SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LOW.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 58 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
SOME PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS FLOODING COULD
BE POSSIBLE.

$$

ANZ050>052-040315-
/O.UPG.KCAR.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.TR.W.0001.100903T0314Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1114 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A POSITION OFF
CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING THE WESTERN TIP
OF NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EARL WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE MARITIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFTS
IMMEDIATELY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK
BETWEEN 4 AM SATURDAY MORNING AND NOONTIME SATURDAY WITH SUSTAIN
WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD FRIDAY NIGHT
REACHING 15 TO 20 FT ON SATURDAY. SEAS WILL THEN START TO SUBSIDE
SATURDAY NIGHT.

$$

MEZ015-040315-
/O.CON.KCAR.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
1114 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...EARL TO AFFECT PARTS OF DOWNEAST MAINE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A POSITION OFF
CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING THE WESTERN TIP
OF NOVA SCOTIA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. EARL WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
INTO THE MARITIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
WINDS APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD IMPACT THE
AREA...INCLUDING BANGOR LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL FAVOR A NORTH TO NORTHEAST DIRECTION AND MAY CAUSE
DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. ANY SHIFT OF EARL TO THE WEST WOULD
LEAD TO A GREATER THREAT OF INCREASED WIND AND ASSOCIATED DAMAGE.


...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
SOME PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS FLOODING COULD
BE POSSIBLE.

$$

FOSTER




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