[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KAKQ 030147 PAA
HLSAKQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES NORTHWARD...RAINBANDS MOVING ONTO THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN
SHORE...INCLUDING THE VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...INLAND CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...
PERQUIMANS AND OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
CURRITUCK SOUND AND THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE
VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND WORCESTER...MARYLAND BEACHES...
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH...CHESAPEAKE...VIRGINIA BEACH...ACCOMACK AND
NORTHAMPTON VA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
YORK...ISLE OF WIGHT...NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON AND SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...OR SOUTH OF NEW POINT
COMFORT.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
------------------------------
AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 33.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR
18 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS
TONIGHT...AND APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR...SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...BUT EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
LARGE AND STRONG HURRICANE AS IT PASSES NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH NEAR CAPE
HATTERAS AROUND 2 AM TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL EXTEND WELL AWAY THE STORM...HOWEVER. WINDS WILL
INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE BY MIDNIGHT IN AREAS UNDER A HURRICANE WARNING...AND
ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE
FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH COASTAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA BY 3 AM. THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
MORNING OVER THE WARNED AREAS. STORM SURGE VALUES BETWEEN 2 AND 3
FEET ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST IN NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA DURING HIGH TIDE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND AGAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR TO AREAS OF MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING. OVER THE TIDEWATER REGION ALONG SOUTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY...STORM SURGE VALUES EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 1.5
AND 2.5 FEET...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING OVER
MOST AREAS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SPOTS OF MODERATE
COASTAL FLOODING. BANDS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER MOST OF THE WARNED AREAS...HOWEVER AT THIS
TIME THE THREAT FOR INLAND FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS LOW.
AT MOST...BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED...AND CONFINED OVER FAR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA EAST OF
ELIZABETH CITY.

SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS FRIDAY. LARGE BATTERING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 15 AND 20 FEET IN THE COASTAL WATERS WITH HIGH SURF ALONG
THE COAST. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF
WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST...MOST NOTABLY FROM VIRGINIA BEACH SOUTH.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE SECURED THEIR
CRAFT BY NOW.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ANZ633-658-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
TO 20 NM-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE SECURED THEIR
CRAFT BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 89 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MIDNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY
BETWEEN 3 AND 7 AM. SEAS WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 15 AND 20 FEET
FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES IN THE CURRITUCK
SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET.

$$

NCZ102-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

A MANDATORY EVACUATION REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL VISITORS ON THE
CURRITUCK OUTER BANKS. CURRITUCK COUNTY SCHOOLS AND GOVERNMENT
OFFICES ARE CLOSED ON FRIDAY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 7 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 78 TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MIDNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY
BETWEEN 3 AND 7 AM.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF HURRICANE EARL IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR STORM SURGES BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE
BETWEEN 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WOULD REPRESENT
MINOR TO AREAS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF
COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

MANY RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE SHORELINE OR COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INTO THEIR HOMES IF NOT ELEVATED OR
PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL. BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROADS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN WITH HURRICANE EARL
REMAINS LOW. GENERALLY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE
DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO
LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 15 AND 20 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM
SURGE COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

NCZ015>017-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 85 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...
STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MIDNIGHT...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY
BETWEEN 3 AND 7 AM.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

$$

NCZ030>032-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN . MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE
EARL APPROACHES... STRONGER WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE
READY TO ACT.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

VAZ095-097-098-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
60 MPH. HOWEVER...AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES... STRONGER WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR
ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF HURRICANE EARL IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR STORM SURGES BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL OVER THE TIDEWATER REGION ALONG SOUTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE BETWEEN
3.5 TO 4.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING OVER MOST AREAS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
SPOTS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL
FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

MANY RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE SHORELINE OR COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INTO THEIR HOMES IF NOT ELEVATED OR
PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL. BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROADS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDES.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO
LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM
SURGE COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

ANZ650-652-654-656-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE SECURED THEIR
CRAFT BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 83 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. SEAS WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 12 AND 16 FEET FROM
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ632-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE SECURED THEIR
CRAFT BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
50 KNOTS. WAVES OVER THE LOWER PORTION OF CHESAPEAKE BAY
WILL BUILD BETWEEN 5 AND 8 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES EXPECTED NEAR THE MOUTH
OF THE BAY.

$$

VAZ091-093-094-096-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
56 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING IN AREAS ALONG AND NEAR CHESAPEAKE BAY. WINDS
FARTHER INLAND WILL BE LIGHTER.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF HURRICANE EARL IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR STORM SURGES BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL OVER THE TIDEWATER REGION ALONG SOUTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE BETWEEN
3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WOULD RESULT IN MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A
RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.

$$

MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-040200-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
947 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
64 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40
MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH THE CORE OF HURRICANE EARL IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME...
THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR STORM SURGES BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE
BETWEEN 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WOULD REPRESENT
MINOR TO AREAS OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF
COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO
LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE ANTICIPATED STORM
SURGE COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

HURLEY

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