[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMHX 030028
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES NORTHWARD...RAINBANDS MOVING ONTO THE
COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND SOUNDS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...
CRAVEN...PAMLICO...CARTERET...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS
HYDE COUNTIES. INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND
ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
ONSLOW COUNTY.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...MARTIN...PITT...GREENE...DUPLIN...LENOIR AND JONES
COUNTIES.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED BY AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 33.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR
18 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF EARL WILL PASS
NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH NEAR CAPE HATTERAS
AROUND 2 AM TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL EXTEND WELL AWAY THE STORM. WINDS ARE INCREASING...AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE THIS EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE OUTER BANKS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL BE MAINLY EAST OF A CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET LINE. THIS
WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES
TO THESE LOCATIONS. PLEASE NOTE THAT THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK IS
SUBJECT TO SHIFT. DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE STORM AND PROXIMITY
TO THE COAST...EVEN A SMALL CHANGE IN TRACK COULD RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT CONDITIONS IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WEST OF CAPE
LOOKOUT IS DIMINISHING.

HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE OUTER
BANKS...WITH AROUND TWO INCHES POSSIBLE OVER DOWNEAST CARTERET
COUNTY. ISOLATED FLOODING OF LOW SPOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE
OUTER BANKS. RAINFALL WILL DECREASE TO LESS THAN AN INCH IN THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE WARNED LOCATIONS.

SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 15 FEET OR HIGHER
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE OUTER BANKS AND 10 TO 15 FEET ALONG THE
CRYSTAL COAST. STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE OCEAN SIDE
LOCATIONS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. THIS...COMBINED WITH SIGNIFICANT
WAVE ACTION...WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT EROSION AND OVERWASH.
INUNDATION UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET IS ALSO POSSIBLE SOUNDSIDE ON THE
OUTER BANKS AND IN THE LOWER NEUSE RIVER AND SOUTHERN PAMLICO AND
CORE SOUND AREAS IN CARTERET COUNTY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ANY HURRICANE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW.

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE SECURED THEIR
CRAFT BY NOW.

LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

NCZ045>047-080-081-093-094-040030-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-
PAMLICO-
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF PAMLICO AND
BEAUFORT COUNTIES. BEAUFORT COUNTY HAS TWO SHELTERS OPEN...
NORTHSIDE AND SOUTHSIDE HIGH SCHOOLS.

FOUR SHELTERS ARE ALSO OPEN IN CRAVEN COUNTY...BEN QUINN
ELEMENTARY...BRINSON ELEMENTARY...FARM LIFE ELEMENTARY...AND
HAVELOCK HIGH SCHOOL. BEN QUINN ELEMENTARY IS PET FRIENDLY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 95 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MIDNIGHT.
MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. ISOLATED POWER
OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER NEUSE RIVER
NEAR NEW BERN INCREASING TO 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE NEUSE RIVER
NEAR CLUBFOOT CREEK. THIS WOULD RESULT IN MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING THERE. ALONG THE PAMLICO RIVER INCLUDING THE WASHINGTON
AND AREAS IN EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PAMLICO COUNTY 1 TO 2 FEET
OF INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE RESULTING IN ONLY MINOR FLOODING.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
INUNDATION OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER NEUSE RIVER
NEAR NEW BERN INCREASING TO 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR
CLUBFOOT CREEK. THIS WOULD RESULT IN MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
THERE. ALONG THE PAMLICO RIVER INCLUDING THE WASHINGTON AND AREAS
IN EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN PAMLICO COUNTY 1 TO 2 FEET OF
INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE RESULTING IN ONLY MINOR FLOODING.

$$

NCZ098-040030-
/O.CON.KMHX.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ONSLOW-
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THREE SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN ONSLOW COUNTY...DIXON MIDDLE SCHOOL...
SWANSBORO HIGH SCHOOL...AND JACKSONVILLE COMMONS MIDDLE.
JACKSONVILLE COMMONS MIDDLE IS ANIMAL FRIENDLY.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 62 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY MIDNIGHT. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PEAK IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45
MPH...MAINLY IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY NEAR THE BEACHES.
PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR WIND DAMAGE...PRIMARILY TO
SHRUBBERY...TREES...AND LOOSE OBJECTS. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BREAKING WAVES WILL PEAK TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AT AROUND
10 TO 15 FT. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL ALSO PEAK AT THAT TIME
AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET. THE SURGE COUPLED WITH HIGH WAVE RUN UP WILL
CAUSE MAJOR BEACH EROSION AND OVERWASH.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.
INCREASED BREAKING WAVES AND ROUGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.
DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AND VERY ROUGH SURF...BEACH GOERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-040030-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD HAVE SECURED THEIR
CRAFT BY NOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 58 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 100 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE MOVED INTO THE NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST
FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 45 TO
65 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS...HIGHEST BETWEEN CAPE
LOOKOUT AND OREGON INLET.

SEAS ARRE NEAR 20 FEET AT DIAMOND SHOALS...AND WILL PEAK ACROSS
THE AREA AT 20 TO 30 FEET TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY...HIGHEST
BETWEEN CAPE LOOKOUT AND OREGON INLET.

$$

NCZ095-040030-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CARTERET-
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE MUNICIPALITIES OF ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...INDIAN
BEACH...AND PINE KNOLL SHORES ARE UNDER A MANDATORY EVACUATION.
ACCESS TO THESE MUNICIPALITIES AND BOGUE BANKS IS RESTRICTED TO
ESSENTIAL PERSONNEL ONLY.

CARTERET COUNTY CONTROL GROUP HAS ISSUED A MANDATORY EVACUATION
OF THE MEDICALLY FRAGILE POPULATION...AND THOSE IN LOW LYING
AREAS...MANUFACTURED AND OTHER FRAGILE HOUSING...PARTICULARLY
SOUTH RIVER...NORTH RIVER...AND AREAS EAST OF THE NORTH RIVER
BRIDGE. THIS INCLUDES ALL AREAS SUBJECT TO SOUND SIDE FLOODING.

CARTERET COUNTY SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED FRIDAY.

THREE SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN CARTERET COUNTY...ATLANTIC ELEMENTARY
SCHOOL...WEST CARTERET HIGH SCHOOL...AND NEWPORT MIDDLE SCHOOL.

A SPECIAL NEEDS SHELTER IS OPEN AT LEON MANN SENIOR CENTER.

LENOIR COUNTY COMMUNITY COLLEGE IN KINSTON IS OPEN AS A SHELTER
FOR CARTERET COUNTY EVACUEES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 94 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE APPROACHING DOWN EAST CARTERET
COUNTY THIS EVENING. THEY WILL SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL VARY GREATLY ACROSS THE COUNTY FROM WEST TO
EAST. PEAK WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65
MPH...HIGHEST DOWN EAST. PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR WIND
DAMAGE... PRIMARILY TO SHRUBBERY...TREES...AND LOOSE OBJECTS.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE PEAK IN BREAKING WAVES WILL COME LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY AT 10 TO 15 FEET. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL ALSO PEAK AT
THAT TIME AROUND 1 TO 3 FEET OCEAN SIDE. THE SURGE COUPLED WITH
HIGH WAVE RUN UP WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND
OVERWASH.

SOUNDSIDE STORM SURGES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN DOWNEAST
CARTERET COUNTY INTO CORE SOUND.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.
INCREASED BREAKING WAVES AND ROUGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.
DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AND VERY ROUGH SURF...BEACH GOERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

NCZ103-104-040030-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS
TO OCRACOKE.

THERE IS A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL VISITORS THROUGHOUT DARE
COUNTY...AND FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS FOR SOUTH NAGS HEAD AND
HATTERAS ISLAND. IN ADDITION...RESIDENTS ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT
ARE ADVISED TO RELOCATE DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING AND OCEAN
OVERWASH THAT WILL OCCUR.

THE NATIONAL PARK SERVICE HAS ANNOUNCED THE CLOSURE OF VISITOR
CENTERS AND CAMPGROUNDS. EXPECTED SURF CONDITIONS WILL CREATE
UNSAFE CONDITIONS ON BEACHES AND OFF-ROAD VEHICLE USE WILL BE
PROHIBITED UNTIL CONDITIONS ALLOW.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
32 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 90 TO 99 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE APPROACHING THE OUTER BANKS THIS
EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
THE OUTER BANKS BY MIDNIGHT. THE OUTER BANKS INCLUDING OCRACOKE
WILL SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 75
MPH BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO LAST
FOR A FEW HOURS.

PREPARE FOR THE LIKELIHOOD OF MODERATE DAMAGE WITH LARGE BRANCHES
AND TREES BLOWN DOWN. SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE TO
BUILDINGS. SIGNIFICANT POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. WIND BLOWN
DEBRIS WILL BLOCK SOME ROADWAYS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
BREAKING WAVES WILL PEAK LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY AT 12 TO
18 FEET. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL ALSO PEAK AT THAT TIME AROUND
3 TO 5 FEET. THE SURGE COUPLED WITH HIGH WAVE RUN UP WILL CAUSE
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND OVERWASH. SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY
12 ALONG THE OUTER BANKS WILL BE AFFECTED STARTING TONIGHT. IT IS
POSSIBLE HATTERAS ISLAND COULD BE BREACHED IN NARROW LOCATIONS
NORTH OF BUXTON. HIGH TIDE AROUND 3 AM FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS.

SOUNDSIDE STORM SURGES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ARE POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON SOUTH OF OREGON INLET TO
OCRACOKE AND 1 TO 3 FEET OF INUNDATION EXPECTED NORTH OF OREGON
INLET. PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 12 WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED.

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM COASTAL
FLOODING...POTENTIALLY HAVING A MAJOR IMPACT. THE CONCERN IS FOR
THE CHANCE OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING TO OCCUR IN AREAS WITHIN THE
SURGE ZONE...RESULTING IN DAMAGING AND LIFE THREATENING
INUNDATION.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES.
INCREASED BREAKING WAVES AND ROUGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.
DUE TO RIP CURRENTS AND VERY ROUGH SURF...BEACH GOERS ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

$$

NCZ029-044-079-090>092-031000-
/O.CON.KMHX.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100903T1000Z/
MARTIN-PITT-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
828 PM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LENOIR COUNTY COMMUNITY COLLEGE HAS BEEN OPENED AS A SHELTER FOR
CARTERET COUNTY EVACUEES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 62 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
THE LATEST AREA FORECAST IS FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING. DAMAGE SHOULD BE MINIMAL.

$$





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