[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 2 10:22:43 CDT 2010


WTUS81 KCAR 021522
HLSCAR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1122 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...INTENSE HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES ON A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
TRACK...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NORTHERN AND DOWNEAST MAINE...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON TO EASTPORT OUT 60 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL HANCOCK...COASTAL WASHINGTON.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...INTERIOR HANCOCK...CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN
WASHINGTON.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL
OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON TO EASTPORT OUT 60 NM.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK...CENTRAL
PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1N...LONGITUDE 74.8W. THIS WAS ABOUT 1030 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF STONINGTON ME...OR ABOUT 1110 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF EASTPORT ME.
STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 145 MPH.


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS
RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING
TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU
LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS
TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR
ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE
REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS
FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CARIBOU AROUND 5 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

MEZ006-011-031530-
/O.NEW.KCAR.HU.S.0001.100902T1522Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-
1122 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...EARL TO AFFECT PARTS OF EASTERN MAINE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A
POSITION OFF CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING
THE WESTERN TIP OF NOVA SCOTIA AROUND MID MORNING SATURDAY
MORNING. FROM THERE WILL WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST INTO THE
MARITIMES.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
CURRENTLY THE PROJECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO
KEEP TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EAST OF THE AREA. HOWEVER
UNLIKELY...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK
AND ANY TURN FURTHER TO THE WEST COULD AFFECT THE AREA WITH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME
PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS
FLOODING COULD BE POSSIBLE.

$$

MEZ029-030-031530-
/O.CON.KCAR.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
1122 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A
POSITION OFF CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING
THE WESTERN TIP OF NOVA SCOTIA AROUND MID MORNING SATURDAY
MORNING. FROM THERE WILL WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST INTO THE
MARITIMES. NO CHANGES IN THE TRACK OF EARL HAVE BEEN OBSERVED
SINCE THE LAST ISSUANCE OF THE HLS. WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
ROUGH BREAKING SURF CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN CONCERNS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO
16 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 66 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TO LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE EARL. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE
PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST AND IN AREAS
PRONE TO SURGE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME
PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS
FLOODING COULD BE POSSIBLE.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SEAS FROM HURRICANE EARL ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 15 TO 20 FEET ON
SATURDAY RESULTING IN DANGEROUS SPLASH OVER AND POTENTIAL FLOODING
OF SOME COASTAL ROADS. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND HIGHS
SEAS ALONG THE COAST WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.

$$

MEZ016-017-032-031530-
/O.NEW.KCAR.TI.A.0001.100902T1522Z-100904T1100Z/
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
1122 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A
POSITION OFF CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING
THE WESTERN TIP OF NOVA SCOTIA AROUND MID MORNING SATURDAY
MORNING. FROM THERE WILL WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST INTO THE
MARITIMES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
STRONGLY CONSIDER EVACUATING IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...AND DO
SO IF ORDERED BY LOCAL OFFICIALS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 7 TO
15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO EARLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME
PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS
FLOODING COULD BE POSSIBLE.

$$

ANZ050>052-031530-
/O.CON.KCAR.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
1122 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A
POSITION OFF CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING
THE WESTERN TIP OF NOVA SCOTIA AROUND MID MORNING SATURDAY
MORNING. FROM THERE WILL WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST INTO THE
MARITIMES. NO CHANGES IN TRACK...TIMING...OR INTENSITY FORECAST
HAVE TAKEN PLACE SINCE THE LAST ISSUANCE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO
18 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 69 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA FRIDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY BUILD FRIDAY NIGHT REACHING 15 TO 20
FT ON SATURDAY. SEAS WILL THEN SUBSIDE SATURDAY NIGHT.

$$

MEZ015-031530-
/O.NEW.KCAR.HU.S.0001.100902T1522Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
1122 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...EARL TO AFFECT PARTS OF DOWNEAST MAINE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE EARL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST REACHING A
POSITION OFF CAPE COD AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THEN REACHING
THE WESTERN TIP OF NOVA SCOTIA AROUND MID MORNING SATURDAY
MORNING. FROM THERE WILL WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST INTO THE
MARITIMES. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE A POSSIBILITY AS
EARL MOVES PAST THE AREA.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
WINDS APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD IMPACT THE
AREA...INCLUDING BANGOR LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL FAVOR A NORTH TO NORTHEAST DIRECTION AND MAY CAUSE
DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. ANY SHIFT OF EARL TO THE WEST WOULD
LEAD TO A GREATER THREAT OF INCREASED WIND AND ASSOCIATED DAMAGE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE INTERACTION BETWEEN EARL AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA. AT THIS TIME MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND SOME
PONDING IN LOW LYING APPEARS POSSIBLE AS A RESULT OF THE RAIN.
HOWEVER...IF A BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN REMAINS OVER AN AREA LONG
ENOUGH TO PRODUCE SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL...MORE SERIOUS
FLOODING COULD BE POSSIBLE.

$$

MCB




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