[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 2 06:36:02 CDT 2010


WTUS81 KGYX 021135
HLSGYX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
735 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN HOISTED FOR COASTAL MAINE AND
NEW HAMPSHIRE...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN
MAINE AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
COASTAL YORK...COASTAL CUMBERLAND...SAGADAHOC...LINCOLN...KNOX...
COASTAL WALDO AND COASTAL ROCKINGHAM.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 1000 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PORTLAND ME.

STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY
WAS 145 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL WILL MOVE UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD TODAY AND
FRIDAY. IT WILL VEER NORTHEAST AS IT APPROACHES THE GULF OF MAINE
FRIDAY NIGHT...BEFORE HEADING TOWARDS NOVA SCOTIA. GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ENTER SOUTHERN MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE
FRIDAY NIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. THE WIND AND RAIN WILL
TAPER OFF BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. BEACH EROSION AND SPLASH-OVER
MAY OCCUR DURING THIS PERIOD...MAINLY ALONG THE VULNERABLE EAST
FACING BEACH LOCATIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

OVER INLAND AREAS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS. BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES FOR THE
MARINE WATERS...TROPICAL CYCLONE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO ASSOCIATED
WITH DANGEROUS SEAS. TROPICAL STORMS HAVE WINDS OF 39 TO 73
MPH...WHICH EQUATES TO 34 TO 63 KNOTS.

HEAVY RAIN MAY ACCOMPANY TROPICAL CYCLONES. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT THE STATED CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS FOR THE SPECIFIED AREAS. IN ORDER TO MAKE THE BEST
DECISIONS...BE SURE THAT YOU UNDERSTAND THE TERMINOLOGY AND
DEFINITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE EVENTS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS. IT WILL PROVIDE IMPORTANT
DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING TROPICAL CYCLONE THREATS AND THEIR
POTENTIAL IMPACTS UPON THE AREA.

ANZ150>154-031145-
/O.CON.KGYX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
735 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MAINE AND
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 7 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 48 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A
GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. IF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE CONDITIONS DEVELOP...THEY ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OUT BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET.

$$

MEZ023>028-NHZ014-031145-
/O.CON.KGYX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
735 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL MAINE AND
NEW HAMPSHIRE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 42 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE
THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR WINDS TO
REMAIN BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE.

...BEACH EROSION AND SPLASH-OVER...
HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 9.5 FEET AT 650 PM FRIDAY EVENING IN
PORTLAND WITH ANOTHER HIGH TIDE AT 736 AM AT ONLY 8.3 FEET.
THE STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND A FOOT DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS
WOULD KEEP PORTLAND'S STORM TIDE BELOW ITS 12 FOOT FLOOD STAGE.
THEREFORE...COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HOWEVER...HIGH ENERGY SWELLS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING
MAY PRODUCE BEACH EROSION AND SPLASH-OVER...MAINLY ALONG THE MORE
VULNERABLE EAST FACING BEACHES. MORE ON THIS LATER AS ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND UPDATES OCCUR.

...INLAND FLOODING...
A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS. THIS WILL CAUSE SMALL RIVERS AND STREAMS TO BE ON THE RISE.

$$
CANNON





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