[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 2 06:11:30 CDT 2010
WTUS81 KOKX 021110
HLSOKX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...HURRICANE EARL EXPECTED TO GLANCE THE AREA LATE FRIDAY...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...SUFFOLK COUNTY.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS SURROUNDING LONG ISLAND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD...SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN...SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON...ESSEX...HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...RICHMOND (STATEN
ISLAND)...KINGS (BROOKLYN)...QUEENS AND NASSAU.
FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
NEW YORK HARBOR.
.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH
OF LONG ISLAND NY. STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 145 MPH.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LONG ISLAND FRIDAY EVENING. THE GREATEST LOCAL IMPACTS FROM EARL
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN LONG ISLAND...THE ADJACENT WATERS AND
POTENTIALLY SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT.
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
IMPACTS FROM A HURRICANE CAN BE FELT SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES AWAY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE ANY
PREPARATIONS NEEDED FOR THE PROTECTION OF PROPERTY. HEED THE
ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED. FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO
SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE
LAND BASED SHELTER. REGARDING COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN UPTON AROUND 1 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
NYZ078>081-031115-
/O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.1007.100902T1110Z-000000T0000Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 57
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS
60 MPH. MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE LOOSE ITEMS
INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR FURNITURE...AS THEY
WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE COAST...THERE
IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL
TIDE WATERS TO CAUSE MINOR COASTAL FLOOD INUNDATION.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND AND PECONIC
AND GARDINERS BAY.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP
TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING DANGEROUS INTO
THE WEEKEND.
$$
CTZ009-NJZ005-006-011-NYZ071>077-031115-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 41
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE COAST...THERE
IS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL
TIDE WATERS TO CAUSE MINOR COASTAL FLOOD INUNDATION.
THE LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO REALIZE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
INCLUDE THE SHORELINES ADJACENT TO LONG ISLAND SOUND.
...COASTAL HAZARDS...
LARGE WAVES FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WILL CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BEACH
EROSION...WITH WASHOVERS POSSIBLE ALONG ATLANTIC FACING SHORELINES.
...RIP CURRENTS...
INCREASINGLY HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON THE OCEAN
WILL DEVELOP TODAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH SURF CONDITIONS REMAINING
DANGEROUS INTO THE WEEKEND.
$$
ANZ330-340-031115-
/O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.0001.100902T1110Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 57
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO
55 KNOTS. AS A RESULT...SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 7 T0 9 FEET
ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND BY LATE FRIDAY...CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. WAVES ON THE BAYS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FT.
$$
ANZ335-031115-
/O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.0001.100902T1110Z-000000T0000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 33 TO 41
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 25 TO 35 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 45
KNOTS. AS A RESULT...SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 5 T0 8 FEET ON
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND BY LATE FRIDAY...CONTINUING THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT.
$$
ANZ350-353-031115-
/O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.0001.100902T1110Z-000000T0000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 64
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
FRIDAY MORNING.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
AS A RESULT...SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 15 T0 20 FEET BY
FRIDAY EVENING.
$$
ANZ355-031115-
/O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.0001.100902T1110Z-000000T0000Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 50
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
FRIDAY MORNING.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.
AS A RESULT...SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO AROUND 15 FEET BY
FRIDAY EVENING.
$$
ANZ338-031115-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.
PREPARATIONS FOR THIS STORM SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 33 TO 37
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL STEADY TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY FRIDAY EVENING...THERE IS STILL A
POSSIBILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
$$
ANZ345-031115-
/O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.0001.100902T1110Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION
THE SECURING OF THEIR CRAFT.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 53
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
FRIDAY MORNING.
...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30 TO 40 KNOTS RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD UP TO 3 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.
$$
CTZ010>012-031115-
/O.CON.KOKX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
710 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE MADE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE...BEFORE
CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. KEEP INFORMED WHILE LISTENING FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
&&
...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
HE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 52
PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL POSSIBLY BEGIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL PASSES NEARBY...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE COAST...THERE
IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
TO CAUSE LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOOD INUNDATION.
$$
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