[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KBOX 021101 PAA
HLSBOX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE EARL APPROACHING SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA...SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA AND SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH
MA.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
BARNSTABLE MA...DUKES MA AND NANTUCKET MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS
OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
EASTERN ESSEX MA...SUFFOLK MA...EASTERN NORFOLK MA...SOUTHEAST
PROVIDENCE RI...EASTERN KENT RI...BRISTOL RI...WASHINGTON RI...
NEWPORT RI AND BLOCK ISLAND RI.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...NORTHERN BRISTOL MA...WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3N...LONGITUDE 74.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 860 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MA. STORM MOTION WAS NNW OR 330
DEGREES AT 18 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 145 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AND IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. EARL IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH
LATE TODAY THEN NORTHEAST FRIDAY TOWARD SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND.
THE LATEST TRACK PROJECTION HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST AND
EARL IS NOW EXPECTED TO TRACK WITHIN 30 MILES SOUTH OF NANTUCKET
FRIDAY NIGHT.

EARL WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IT MOVES
OVER COOLER WATERS BUT MAY STILL BE A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT
MAKES ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO NANTUCKET FRIDAY NIGHT.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST EXTENSIVE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TAUNTON AROUND 1 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

MAZ019>021-031115-
/O.UPG.KBOX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE WINDS SECTION...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SECTION AND INLAND FLOODING SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 9 TO
16 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 68 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO PLYMOUTH. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NANTUCKET
WHERE GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. FOR THE REST OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...THEN DIMINISH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN
FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION...STORM SURGE FLOODING IS NOT A
MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS OR RHODE ISLAND COASTS. A
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG NANTUCKET
HARBOR...THE EAST SIDE OF CHATHAM...AND THE NORTHEAST FACING
COASTLINE OF MARTHA/S VINEYARD AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRIDAY
EVENING HIGH TIDE. ALONG THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COAST...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

ALTHOUGH A LOW RISK AT THIS TIME...MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING
COULD OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT IN WELLFLEET AND PROVINCETOWN HARBOR...
IF EARL SHOULD TRACK FURTHER WEST AND PASS VERY NEAR THE OUTER
CAPE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER RHODE ISLAND AND
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE.
MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL STREAM AND RIVER
FLOODING...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FURTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ARRIVE TODAY ALONG THE
RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THIS INCLUDES
CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE WORST OF THESE
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL
APPROACHES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS
WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE IMPROVING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY AS
WELL. BEACH GOERS SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND
LIFEGUARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE
LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE BEACH CLOSURES DURING THIS TIME. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ233-234-031115-
/O.UPG.KBOX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WATCH.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 15 TO
20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 66 TO 72 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 65 KT ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE CAPE COD
COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING VINEYARD SOUND AND BUZZARDS BAY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO 90 KT ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS SOUTH AND
EAST OF NANTUCKET. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 30 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN TURBULENT ON SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH SOUTHEAST
SWELLS OF 12 TO 18 FT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WATERS IN THE
MORNING...SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MAZ017-018-031115-
/O.NEW.KBOX.TI.A.0001.100903T1800Z-100904T1000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL. THE PERIOD OF
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...THEN
DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN
TREES REMAIN FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER RHODE ISLAND AND
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE.
MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL STREAM AND RIVER
FLOODING...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FURTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

$$

ANZ231-232-254-255-031115-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE WINDS SECTION AND PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
33 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 84 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 65 KT ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE CAPE COD
COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING VINEYARD SOUND AND BUZZARDS BAY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO 90 KT ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS SOUTH AND
EAST OF NANTUCKET. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 30 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN TURBULENT ON SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH SOUTHEAST
SWELLS OF 12 TO 18 FT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WATERS IN THE
MORNING...SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

MAZ022>024-031115-
/O.CON.KBOX.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE WINDS SECTION AND PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 28
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 80 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO PLYMOUTH. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NANTUCKET
WHERE GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. FOR THE REST OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...THEN DIMINISH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN
FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION...STORM SURGE FLOODING IS NOT A
MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS OR RHODE ISLAND COASTS. A
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG NANTUCKET
HARBOR...THE EAST SIDE OF CHATHAM...AND THE NORTHEAST FACING
COASTLINE OF MARTHA/S VINEYARD AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRIDAY
EVENING HIGH TIDE. ALONG THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COAST...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

ALTHOUGH A LOW RISK AT THIS TIME...MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING
COULD OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT IN WELLFLEET AND PROVINCETOWN HARBOR...
IF EARL SHOULD TRACK FURTHER WEST AND PASS VERY NEAR THE OUTER
CAPE.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ARRIVE TODAY ALONG THE
RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THIS INCLUDES
CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE WORST OF THESE
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL
APPROACHES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS
WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE IMPROVING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY AS
WELL. BEACH GOERS SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND
LIFEGUARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE
LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE BEACH CLOSURES DURING THIS TIME. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

MAZ007-015-016-RIZ002-004>008-031115-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE WINDS SECTION...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SECTION AND INLAND FLOODING SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 66 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS EXTENDING NORTHWARD TO PLYMOUTH. HOWEVER...THE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT NANTUCKET
WHERE GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. FOR THE REST OF THE
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTLINE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
CLOSEST TO THE CAPE COD CANAL. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS
SHOULD OCCUR LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING...THEN DIMINISH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN TREES REMAIN
FULLY LEAVED COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING OR UPROOTING TREES...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
WITH THE PRESENT TRACK PROJECTION...STORM SURGE FLOODING IS NOT A
MAJOR CONCERN ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS OR RHODE ISLAND COASTS. A
STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG NANTUCKET
HARBOR...THE EAST SIDE OF CHATHAM...AND THE NORTHEAST FACING
COASTLINE OF MARTHA/S VINEYARD AROUND THE TIME OF THE FRIDAY
EVENING HIGH TIDE. ALONG THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COAST...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

ALTHOUGH A LOW RISK AT THIS TIME...MORE SERIOUS COASTAL FLOODING
COULD OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT IN WELLFLEET AND PROVINCETOWN HARBOR...
IF EARL SHOULD TRACK FURTHER WEST AND PASS VERY NEAR THE OUTER
CAPE.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER RHODE ISLAND AND
EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE.
MUCH OF THIS RAIN MAY FALL IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD LATE FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD URBAN AND
POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING ALONG WITH MINOR SMALL STREAM AND RIVER
FLOODING...WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE FLOODING.

THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS TRACK DEPENDENT AND COULD SHIFT
FURTHER WEST OR EAST DEPENDING ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF EARL.

...RIP CURRENTS...
HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL ARRIVE TODAY ALONG THE
RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS SHORELINE. THIS INCLUDES
CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. THE WORST OF THESE
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE FRIDAY AS HURRICANE EARL
APPROACHES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. EARL WILL EXIT INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SATURDAY...HOWEVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND OCEAN WATERS
WILL REMAIN VERY TURBULENT INTO THE WEEKEND DESPITE IMPROVING
WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT HIGH SURF AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO SUNDAY AS
WELL. BEACH GOERS SHOULD CHECK WITH LOCAL BEACH PATROLS AND
LIFEGUARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. SWIMMING RESTRICTIONS ARE
LIKELY WITH POSSIBLE BEACH CLOSURES DURING THIS TIME. THE MOST
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT SOUTH AND EAST FACING
OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES.

$$

ANZ230-235>237-250-251-256-031115-
/O.CON.KBOX.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
701 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE WINDS SECTION AND PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE
CONDITIONS SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
26 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 80 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO 65 KT ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE CAPE COD
COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING VINEYARD SOUND AND BUZZARDS BAY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO 90 KT ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS SOUTH AND
EAST OF NANTUCKET. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 KT ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REST OF THE MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS. THE PERIOD OF STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS HURRICANE EARL MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH TO NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY BY SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AS EARL
APPROACHES. DANGEROUS SEAS UP TO 30 FT ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE OCEAN WATERS EAST OF NANTUCKET AND CAPE COD. SEAS WILL
REMAIN TURBULENT ON SATURDAY AFTER EARL PASSES WITH SOUTHEAST
SWELLS OF 12 TO 18 FT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WATERS IN THE
MORNING...SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

KJC







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