[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KAKQ 020632 PAA
HLSAKQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL QUICKLY MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN
SHORE...INCLUDING THE VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...INLAND CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...
PERQUIMANS AND OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK
SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND WORCESTER...MARYLAND BEACHES...
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH...CHESAPEAKE...VIRGINIA BEACH...ACCOMACK AND
NORTHAMPTON VA.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
YORK...ISLE OF WIGHT...NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON AND SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK
SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6N...LONGITUDE 74.4W. THIS WAS ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTH
OF OCEAN CITY MD...OR ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH OF NORFOLK VA.
THE CURRENT STORM MOTION IS NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 18 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND ARE 140 MPH WITH HIGHER GUST.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES TO MOVE OFF TO THE NNW THIS MORNING AT
AROUND 18 MPH AND IT WILL CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK INTO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE BEGINNING TO MAKE A TURN TO THE NORTH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY
THURSDAY EVENING...AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST AND PARALLEL THE COAST
LINE INTO FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE HEADING TOWARD NEW ENGLAND
FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE AS IT PASSES THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. WHEN
MAKING DECISIONS DO NOT FOCUS ON THE CENTER OF THE TRACK AS THIS
IS A LARGE HURRICANE WITH TROPICAL STORM WIND FIELDS THAT EXTEND
APPROXIMATELY 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS... ALONG WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS...WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO COASTAL LOCATIONS
IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. IN
ADDITION...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT TRACT OF
THE STORM AND JUST SMALL SHIFT IN THAT TRACK COULD LEAD TO
REMARKABLY DIFFERENT WEATHER CONDITIONS.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE WARNED AREAS...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WIND GUSTS ANTICIPATED ALONG THE NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
COAST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND NOON ON FRIDAY. STORM SURGE VALUES
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST IN
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING HIGH TIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE COASTAL FLOODING. OVER THE
TIDEWATER REGION ALONG SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...STORM SURGE
VALUES EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 1.5 AND 3 FEET DURING HIGH TIDE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING. NEITHER EXCESSIVE RAINFALL NOR TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO
POSE A THREAT TO THE WARNED AREAS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED TO BRING BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL OVER
MOST OF THE WARNED AREAS...WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 3 OR 4 INCHES
POSSIBLE NEAR THE NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA ATLANTIC COAST.

SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...MOST NOTABLY
FROM VIRGINIA BEACH SOUTH.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.
REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.


&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ANZ633-658-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
TO 20 NM-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUE TO PREPARE FOR THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. IF
YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO
REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE
TIME TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK
SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
28 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 80 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WINDS...AT LEAST
GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 9 AM ON FRIDAY. SEAS
WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES IN THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO
PEAK UP TO 3 FEET.

$$

NCZ102-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 16 TO
20 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 70 TO 75 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN LATE THURSDAY EVENING...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WINDS...AT
LEAST GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 9 AM ON
FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 4 AND 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST IN CURRITUCK COUNTY...RESULTING IN WORST CASE
FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MODERATE TO SEVERE
COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A
RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.

MANY RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE SHORELINE OR COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INTO THEIR HOMES IF NOT ELEVATED OR
PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL. BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROADS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN WITH HURRICANE EARL
REMAINS LOW. AT MOST...3 TO 4 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

NCZ015>017-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
21 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 76 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT...MOST LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE
WIND WINDS...AT LEAST GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 3 AND 9 AM
ON FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...A STORM SURGE UP TO FOOT ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND IS ANTICIPATED...RESULTING IN
WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. AS A RESULT...AT THIS POINT...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR EVEN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN
COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

NCZ030>032-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS LESS THAN OR
EQUAL TO 13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP TO 69 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT...MOST LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE
WIND WINDS...AT LEAST GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 3 AND 9 AM
ON FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND
PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING
DAMAGE. SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY
CAUSE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND
SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...A STORM SURGE UP TO 1 FOOT ALONG
THE NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND IS ANTICIPATED...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. AS A RESULT...AT THIS POINT...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR EVEN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE NORTHERN
COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

VAZ095-097-098-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
14 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 68 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE
TO ABOUT NOON. HURRICANE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MOST
LIKELY BETWEEN 2 AND 8 AM FRIDAY.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...OR ABOUT 4.5 TO
6.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...ALONG THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE
BAY AND ADJACENT TRIBUTARIES. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WORST CASE
FLOOD INUNDATION OF TO 1.5 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL
BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

ANZ650-652-654-656-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND
MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU
PLAN TO REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS
THE TIME TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR
SEEK SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
21 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 74 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN
12 AND 17 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ632-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND
MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU
PLAN TO REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS
THE TIME TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR
SEEK SAFE HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 61 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES OVER THE LOWER PORTION OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY WILL BUILD BETWEEN 5 AND 8 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES EXPECTED
NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE BAY.

$$

VAZ091-093-094-096-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
UP TO 57 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING IN AREAS ALONG AND NEAR CHESAPEAKE BAY. WINDS
FARTHER INLAND WILL BE LIGHTER...HOWEVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...OR ABOUT 4.5 TO
5.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...ALONG THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ADJACENT TRIBUTARIES NORTH OF SEWELLS POINT. THIS WOULD
RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS
A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.

$$

MDZ024-025-VAZ099-100-030645-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
232 AM EDT THU SEP 2 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 4 TO
9 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 59 PERCENT.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE...AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY.
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION AROUND
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH
REPRESENTS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL
FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$




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