[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KAKQ 020345 PAA
HLSAKQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST...WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
THROUGH MASSACHUSETTS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE...INCLUDING THE
VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...CURRITUCK SOUND...AND
ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...INLAND CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...
PERQUIMANS AND OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND WORCESTER...MARYLAND BEACHES...
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH...CHESAPEAKE...VIRGINIA BEACH...ACCOMACK AND
NORTHAMPTON VA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
YORK...ISLE OF WIGHT...NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON AND SUFFOLK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS SOUTH
OF THE VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF THE VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA BORDER.
LASTLY...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH ON THURSDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL APPROACH THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST BY LATE THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE OUTER
BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA THURSDAY NIGHT. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO
PASS NEAR OR OFFSHORE OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR...SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT A GRADUAL
WEAKENING TREND IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.

EARL IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST OFFSHORE OF CAPE
HATTERAS BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. WHEN MAKING DECISIONS DO NOT
FOCUS ON THE CENTER OF THE TRACK. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...
ALONG WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS...WILL
BRING A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO COASTAL LOCATIONS IN EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA. IN ADDITION...THE EXACT FORECAST
TRACK IS SUBJECT TO SHIFT. DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE STORM AND
PROXIMITY TO THE COAST...EVEN A SMALL CHANGE IN TRACK COULD RESULT
IN SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT CONDITIONS IN NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE FROM LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE WARNED AREAS...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WIND GUSTS ANTICIPATED ALONG THE NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
COAST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND NOON ON FRIDAY. STORM SURGE VALUES
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 FEET ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST IN
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA DURING HIGH TIDE FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN MODERATE TO SEVERE COASTAL FLOODING. OVER THE
TIDEWATER REGION ALONG SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...STORM SURGE
VALUES EXPECTED TO PEAK BETWEEN 1.5 AND 3 FEET DURING HIGH TIDE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING. NEITHER EXCESSIVE RAINFALL NOR TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED TO
POSE A THREAT TO THE WARNED AREAS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED TO BRING BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL OVER
MOST OF THE WARNED AREAS...WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 3 OR 4 INCHES
POSSIBLE NEAR THE NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA ATLANTIC COAST.

SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...MOST NOTABLY
FROM VIRGINIA BEACH SOUTH.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING. FOR INTERESTS AT
PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE PRESCRIBED
PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONES.

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR
CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE
CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS
UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL
SECURED.

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...CONTINUE WITH YOUR PREPARATIONS AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A
WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
DETERMINE THE BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT. CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.

LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL
PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE
DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER
DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AROUND 2 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ANZ633-658-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
TO 20 NM-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

CONTINUE TO PREPARE FOR THE THREAT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. IF
YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO
REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE TIME
TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE
HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 30 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
80 PERCENT.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WINDS...AT LEAST
GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 9 AM ON FRIDAY. SEAS
WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES IN THE CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO
PEAK UP TO 3 FEET.

$$

NCZ102-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS
ARRIVE. AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME.
REMEMBER...PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO
CHECK AHEAD WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 20 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN
THURSDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN LATE THURSDAY EVENING...AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WINDS...AT
LEAST GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 9 AM ON FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 4 AND 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST IN CURRITUCK COUNTY...RESULTING IN WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION UP TO 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN
THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MODERATE TO SEVERE COASTAL
FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL
BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

MANY RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE SHORELINE OR COASTAL FLOOD PRONE
AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME WATER INTO THEIR HOMES IF NOT ELEVATED OR
PROTECTED BY A SEAWALL. BATTERING WAVES ALONG THE COASTLINE WILL
INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROADS IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS WILL LIKELY BE CLOSED. MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE...BECOMING LIKELY IF CONDITIONS EXTEND THROUGH MULTIPLE
HIGH TIDES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THE THREAT OF INLAND FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN WITH HURRICANE EARL
REMAINS LOW. AT MOST...3 TO 4 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE ENTIRE EVENT.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

NCZ015>017-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

IF EVACUATING...LEAVE AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. GUARD AGAINST BEING
STUCK OUT ON ROADWAYS WHEN DANGEROUS WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ARRIVE.
AGAIN...DO NOT STAY IN A MOBILE OR MANUFACTURED HOME. REMEMBER...
PETS ARE NOT ALLOWED IN MOST OFFICIAL SHELTERS...SO CHECK AHEAD
WITH YOUR INTENDED SHELTER.

IF STAYING IN A HOME...TURN THE REFRIGERATOR TO MAXIMUM COLD AND
KEEP IT CLOSED. TURN OFF PROPANE TANKS AND UNPLUG SMALL
APPLIANCES. FILL THE BATHTUB WITH WATER IN CASE THE TAP WATER
BECOMES UNAVAILABLE AFTER THE STORM. THIS IS FOR CLEANING AND
FLUSHING PURPOSES. DO NOT DRINK IT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 20 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT...MOST LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE
WIND WINDS...AT LEAST GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 3 AND 9 AM
ON FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...A STORM SURGE UP TO FOOT ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND IS ANTICIPATED...RESULTING IN
WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. AS A RESULT...AT THIS
POINT...THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR EVEN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

NCZ030>032-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MAKE THE FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. RUSH TO
COMPLETION THE HARDENING OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS BY CLOSING
SHUTTERS AND BRACING GARAGE DOORS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS BETWEEN 10 AND
15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT...MOST LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE
WIND WINDS...AT LEAST GUSTS...ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 3 AND 9 AM
ON FRIDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MANY MOBILE HOMES...
ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT HAVE CANOPIES...AWNINGS...OR CARPORTS.
POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY SUSTAIN MINOR WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL
ROOF REMOVAL. OTHER HOMES MAY HAVE MINOR ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE.
SOME LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BE TOSSED AROUND AND MAY CAUSE
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. A FEW POWER LINES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN
RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. SOME LARGE BRANCHES OF
HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS
WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...A STORM SURGE UP TO 1 FOOT ALONG
THE NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND IS ANTICIPATED...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE. AS A RESULT...AT THIS
POINT...THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR EVEN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE
NORTHERN COASTS OF ALBEMARLE SOUND.

$$

VAZ095-097-098-100-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-NORTHAMPTON VA-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO 15
PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS
TIME IS UP TO 70 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE TO
ABOUT NOON. HURRICANE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MOST LIKELY
BETWEEN 2 AND 8 AM FRIDAY.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...OR ABOUT 4.5 TO 6.0
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...ALONG THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY
AND ADJACENT TRIBUTARIES. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD
INUNDATION OF TO 1.5 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN
THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. THE
GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

ANZ650-652-654-656-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT TO
20 NM-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO
REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE TIME
TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE
HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 20 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS
75 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST
FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY PEAK BETWEEN 12 AND
17 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ANZ632-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO
REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE TIME
TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE
HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES. CONTINUE TO
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS BETWEEN 5 AND
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 65 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES OVER THE LOWER PORTION OF CHESAPEAKE
BAY WILL BUILD BETWEEN 5 AND 8 FEET FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST WAVES EXPECTED NEAR THE MOUTH
OF THE BAY.

$$

VAZ091-093-094-096-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-SUFFOLK-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS VERY SMALL.
HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME
IS UP TO 55 TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND
SINCE THE LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING IN AREAS ALONG AND NEAR CHESAPEAKE BAY. WINDS
FARTHER INLAND WILL BE LIGHTER...HOWEVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...OR ABOUT 4.5 TO 5.5
FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...ALONG THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND
ADJACENT TRIBUTARIES NORTH OF SEWELLS POINT. THIS WOULD RESULT IN
A WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF TO 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH REPRESENTS MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL
BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$

MDZ024-025-VAZ099-030345-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-
1145 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FINAL ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. COVER WINDOWS AND DOORS WITH
SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS INSIDE. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE DOORS.

COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOU
LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF
YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE
ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED
SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR
FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION ZONES.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO 10 PERCENT.
ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS UP
TO 60 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD TREND SINCE THE
LAST FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

MINOR DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO OLDER MOBILE HOMES. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MOVE LOOSE ITEMS INDOORS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND OUTDOOR
FURNITURE... AS THEY WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. NEWLY PLANTED OR YOUNG
TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. ISOLATED
POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES THE COAST...THERE IS AN INCREASING
CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST. THIS WOULD RESULT IN A WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION AROUND
2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE...WHICH
REPRESENTS MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. THE GREATEST RISK OF COASTAL
FLOODING AS A RESULT WILL BE DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES FRIDAY
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
SIGNIFICANT SWELLS WILL BRING AN HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL ALSO LIKELY PEAK
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 FEET ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE ANTICIPATED STORM SURGE
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION
AND OVERWASH ISSUES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

HURLEY



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