[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 012223
HLSILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
623 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...LARGE HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE
NORTH...NORTHWEST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PENDER...NEW HANOVER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3N...LONGITUDE 73.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 615 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC...OR ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MYRTLE BEACH SC.


.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL WILL PASS JUST OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO A INCREASE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG RIP CURRENTS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS. DURING A TROPICAL STORM UNSECURED OBJECTS CAN BECOME
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. STORE OR SECURE LAWN FURNITURE...BARBECUE
GRILLS...GARBAGE CANS...PORTABLE BASKETBALL GOALS AND OTHER LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS. REALTY SIGNS CAN ALSO POSE A SIGNIFICANT DANGER
AND SHOULD BE PLACED DOWN OR STORED INDOORS. BE SURE TO CHECK FOR
ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE AND HAVE WORKING
FLASHLIGHTS WITH PLENTY OF BATTERIES ON HAND. IF YOU CHOOSE TO USE
CANDLES INSTEAD OF FLASHLIGHTS DO NOT LEAVE THEM UNATTENDED AS
THEY CAN START FIRES. A LARGE NUMBER OF FATALITIES ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORMS OCCUR ONCE THE STORM HAS PASSED. ELECTROCUTION BY
DOWNED POWER LINES...CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM GENERATOR
EXHAUST...FIRES STARTED BY UNATTENDED CANDLES...AND HEART ATTACKS
FROM STRENUOUS CLEAN UP ACTIVITY ARE THE MOST COMMON DANGERS.

IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO
REMOVE YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE TIME
TO DO SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE
HARBOR LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES.

LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF
NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.



&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AROUND 9 PM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

NCZ097-101-022230-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.W.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PENDER-NEW HANOVER-
623 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3N...LONGITUDE 73.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 615 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC...OR ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MYRTLE BEACH SC.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS. DURING A TROPICAL STORM UNSECURED OBJECTS CAN BECOME
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. STORE OR SECURE LAWN FURNITURE...BARBECUE
GRILLS...GARBAGE CANS...PORTABLE BASKETBALL GOALS...AND OTHER LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS. REALTY SIGNS CAN ALSO POSE A SIGNIFICANT DANGER
AND SHOULD BE PLACED DOWN OR STORED INDOORS. BE SURE TO CHECK FOR
ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE AND HAVE WORKING
FLASHLIGHTS WITH PLENTY OF BATTERIES ON HAND. IF YOU CHOOSE TO USE
CANDLES INSTEAD OF FLASHLIGHTS DO NOT LEAVE THEM UNATTENDED AS
THEY CAN START FIRES. A LARGE NUMBER OF FATALITIES ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORMS OCCUR ONCE THE STORM HAS PASSED. ELECTROCUTION BY
DOWNED POWER LINES...CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM GENERATOR
EXHAUST...FIRES STARTED BY UNATTENDED CANDLES...AND HEART ATTACKS
FROM STRENUOUS CLEAN UP ACTIVITY ARE THE MOST COMMON DANGERS.

LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF
NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.



&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THC CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IS AROUND 37 PERCENT AND
AROUND 5 PERCENT FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS.

...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 180 MILES
EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE
FORECAST TRACK REMAINS AND A WESTWARD SHIFT OF THE TRACK IN
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE AREA. IF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IF HURRICANE CONDITIONS WERE TO
OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS LATE THURSDAY EVENING.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AS THE PROBABILITY OF THE STORM MOVING WELL OFFSHORE INCREASES
WITH TIME...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL. SURF HEIGHTS
HOWEVER WILL BE IN THE 8-12 FOOT RANGE FOR SEVERAL HOURS HOWEVER
AS THE PROLIFIC SEAS MAKE THEIR WAY ONSHORE.


$$

AMZ250-022230-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
623 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3N...LONGITUDE 73.3W. THIS WAS ABOUT 615 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC...OR ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MYRTLE BEACH SC.


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CONTINUE TO PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. IF YOU LIVE
ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO
LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO REMOVE
YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE TIME TO DO
SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR
LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING IS BETWEEN 50 AND
60 PERCENT AND AROUND 7 PERCENT FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS. IF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD
OF ONSET IS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. IF HURRICANE
CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS LATE
THURSDAY EVENING. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 180 MILES EAST OF THE
CAPE FEAR REGION. HOWEVER...SOME REMAINS UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT
TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND A WESTWARD SHIFT IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS
WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE WATERS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS
BETWEEN 30 AND 40 KT WITH GUSTS OVER 45 KT. SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD THROUGH THURSDAY...REACHING 15 FT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST
FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.




$$


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