[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 1 04:58:37 CDT 2010


WTUS82 KMHX 010958
HLSMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
558 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...
CRAVEN...PAMLICO...CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER
BANKS HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0N...LONGITUDE 71.2W. THIS WAS ABOUT 820 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BUXTON NC...OR ABOUT 810 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF MOREHEAD CITY NC.

STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 16 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS
125 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL WILL PASS EAST OF NORTH CAROLINA STARTING
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. INCREASED WINDS AND RAIN ARE LIKELY ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS AND COASTAL COUNTIES...AND THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO
SOUNDS...BEGINNING THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE ALSO
LIKELY.

IT IS TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE EXACT WIND AND SURGE FORECAST VALUES
FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST WIDESPREAD DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS
RELATIVE TO YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 12 NOON...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-011600-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ALBEMARLE SOUND-PAMLICO SOUND-
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
INCLUDING THE MONITOR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
S OF OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM-
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO N OF SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM-
558 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS OF SMALL CRAFT NEED TO DETERMINE THE
BEST STRATEGY FOR SECURING THEIR CRAFT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
28 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 72 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE THURSDAY EVENING TO EARLY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

THE FORECAST TRACK IS UNCERTAIN. A WESTWARD SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF
HURRICANE EARL WILL INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS TO AFFECT THE AREA. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
CHANGES IN THE TRACK.

AS HURRICANE EARL APPROACHES...SEAS WILL GRADUALLY BUILD. AS EARL
PASSES BY OFF THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH AS HIGH AS 25 FEET NEAR THE OUTER BANKS.

$$

NCZ045>047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104-011600-
/O.CON.KMHX.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-
PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
558 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY CALM AND KEEP INFORMED. COMPLY WITH ANY EVACUATION ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. IF YOUR HOME IS VULNERABLE TO HIGH
WINDS...OR YOU LIVE IN A SURGE ZONE OR ANY LOCATION PRONE TO
FLOODING...EVACUATE TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER OR RIDE OUT THE STORM
IN THE STURDY HOME OF FAMILY OR FRIENDS OUTSIDE OF EVACUATION
ZONES.

REGARDING YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS...COVER ALL WINDOWS AND DOORS
WITH SHUTTERS OR PLYWOOD. MOVE PATIO FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS INDOORS. BRACE ALL EXTERIOR DOORS...INCLUDING GARAGE
DOORS. DO THIS AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

IF YOU NEED TO MAKE A TRIP TO THE HARDWARE STORE...THE GROCERY
STORE...OR THE GAS STATION...DO SO AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS  UP TO
21 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 69 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL UPWARD
TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE MOST
LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM THURSDAY AFTER MIDNIGHT TO EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MINOR
DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE EARL. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE
PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST.

STORM SURGES OF 3 TO 4 FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN DOWNEAST CARTERET
COUNTY...ON OCRACOKE ISLAND...AND AREAS WEST OF BUXTON. OVER
CRAVEN...BEAUFORT...AND PAMLICO COUNTIES...AND OTHER AREAS IN THE
WATCH...1 TO 2 FEET OF STORM SURGE ARE POSSIBLE. MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING IS EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING NEAR CEDAR ISLAND AND LONG
BAY. PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 12 ON THE OUTER BANKS WILL FLOOD.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS STARTING WEDNESDAY
MORNING ALONG AREA BEACHES. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF
THE WATER. BREAKING WAVES WILL REACH UP TO 15 FEET ALONG THE OUTER
BANKS AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION
IS EXPECTED.

$$






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