[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 26 09:33:08 CDT 2010


WTNT44 KNHC 261432
TCDAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION RICHARD DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL192010
1000 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

RICHARD LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND IS NOW A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER WATER...THE ENVIRONMENT IS
CHARACTERIZED BY DRY MID-LEVEL AIR AND MODERATE TO STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR.  THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD PROHIBIT REGENERATION.

THE LOW IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 KT ON THE
SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE.  THIS
MOTION IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON RICHARD.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANTS OF RICHARD...THE LOW...NOT THE FORECASTER...CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      26/1500Z 20.4N  93.1W    25 KT
 12HR VT     27/0000Z 21.6N  93.8W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24HR VT     27/1200Z 23.2N  94.6W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36HR VT     28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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