[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 171157
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN OCT 17 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME A
LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AS THIS DISTURBANCE
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...BUT THEY COULD
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
CLIMATOLOGICALLY...DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA AT THIS TIME OF YEAR
IS NOT LIKELY...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG





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