[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 140945
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...PAULA WEAKENING JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR
60 NM.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 250 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD DECREASED TO NEAR
75 MPH...AND STORM MOTION WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
MINIMAL HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF
CUBA...IS FORECAST TO TRACK TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER
WESTERN CUBA BY MIDDAY. PAULA IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS
IT CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND
WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING
RAPIDLY DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY
POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WOULD BE MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE
SUSTAINED WINDS OR GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF
THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA
TODAY...IN CASE OF UNEXPECTED CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION...SITUATION OVERVIEW AND
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY
WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE
ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE
THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS
BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

FLZ077-078-150945-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS AND WINDS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY
WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE
ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE
THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS
BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTH TO NORTHEAST EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 15
MPH OR LESS THROUGH TODAY...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40
MPH IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS AFFECT THE ISLAND CHAIN TODAY OR
TONIGHT...BUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT
THIS POINT.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

GMZ053-054-073>075-150945-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED WINDS AND SEAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT
MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND
50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS
OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TODAY. WINDS MAY
INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS ACROSS THE FAR OUTER WATERS WELL SOUTH OF
THE DRY TORTUGAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AS
PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
THE FAR OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS.
ELSEWHERE...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 7
FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

$$

FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150945-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
545 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...SHOWERS LIKELY TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...AND WINDS AND SEAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES...PUBLIC SCHOOLS...STATE PARKS...AS WELL AS THE PORT OF KEY
WEST AND THE KEY WEST AND MARATHON AIRPORTS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPERATE
ON NORMAL SCHEDULES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE
THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS
BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 KNOTS
OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ON FLORIDA BAY...THE GULF WATERS...AND THE
ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE UPPER KEYS TODAY. THEREAFTER...NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

JACOBSON



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