[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 140631
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...EYE OF PAULA NEARING WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR
60 NM.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 270
MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAINED
NEAR 80 MPH...AND MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST AT 4 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...
WILL TURN TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND TRACK OVER EXTREME WESTERN
CUBA EARLY THIS MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT
CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA LATER
TODAY...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND
WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING
DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR
WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS FROM LATE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS
AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION AND SITUATION OVERVIEW.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN TODAY AND
FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

FLZ077-078-150645-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN TODAY AND
FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THERE IS
LITTLE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE KEYS. A FEW GUSTS TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY BE
POSSIBLE IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE KEYS ISLAND
CHAIN.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 15 MPH OR
LESS THROUGH TODAY...BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO
AROUND 15 MPH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS AFFECT
THE ISLAND CHAIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...BUT SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

GMZ053-054-073>075-150645-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT
MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND
50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS ALMOST ZERO.
MINIMAL SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND
50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. CLOSER TO THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS
OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS MAY
BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

$$

FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150645-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
231 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010

...SHOWERS LIKELY ON THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN TODAY AND
FRIDAY.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS
OF AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS
TONIGHT. THEREAFTER...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE ATLANTIC
WATERS OFF THE UPPER KEYS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO
20 KNOTS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH NORTH WINDS
INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS ACROSS FLORIDA BAY AND THE GULF
WATERS.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$

JACOBSON




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