[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 140329
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...PAULA WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES WESTERN CUBA...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR
60 NM.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE UPPER KEYS...THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO CRAIG KEY...FLORIDA BAY...AND THE GULF WATERS NORTH OF THE
ISLAND CHAIN...ALL RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE PAULA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KEY WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...
AND MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA...
WILL TURN TO THE EAST NORTHEAST AND TRACK OVER EXTREME WESTERN
CUBA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL CUBA LATER THURSDAY...THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GIVEN THE
CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE
KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES
SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE
PAULA.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION...SITUATION OVERVIEW AND
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 3 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

FLZ077-078-150330-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...PROBABILITIES...WINDS
AND RAINFALL IMPACTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER
KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY
THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THERE IS NO CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME. THERE IS
LITTLE CHANCE FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE KEYS. A FEW GUSTS TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY BE
POSSIBLE IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE KEYS ISLAND
CHAIN.

...WINDS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 15 MPH OR LESS
THROUGH THURSDAY...BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INCREASING TO
AROUND 15 MPH THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IF ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS AFFECT
THE ISLAND CHAIN LATER THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM WINDS APPEAR QUITE UNLIKELY AT THIS POINT.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ053-054-073>075-150330-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...PROBABILITIES...AND
WINDS AND SEAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT
MARINE CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND
50 MILES SOUTH OF THE LOWER KEYS...MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS ALMOST ZERO.
MINIMAL SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM WINDS OR GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF THE
LOWER KEYS LATE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF
AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.
THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL CUBA...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OR GUSTS IN
SQUALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 50 MILES SOUTH OF
THE LOWER KEYS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
CLOSER TO THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO
20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASING WINDS...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO
7 FEET ACROSS THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$

FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-150330-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1129 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...SHOWERS LIKELY ON THURSDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED RAINFALL IMPACTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS RECOMMENDED
OR PLANNED FOR THE KEYS ISLAND CHAIN. ALL COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL
OFFICES AS WELL AS PUBLIC SCHOOLS ARE SCHEDULED TO OPEN THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

&&

...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS OF
AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON THE KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.
THEREAFTER...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ON THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE
UPPER KEYS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS
ACROSS FLORIDA BAY AND THE GULF WATERS.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE KEYS FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

JACOBSON





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