[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 13 17:10:06 CDT 2010


WTUS82 KKEY 132209
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE PAULA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
609 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...WEAK HURRICANE PAULA BEGINNING TO DETERIORATE...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR PEOPLE AND
MARINERS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS...MONROE LOWER KEYS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM DRY TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY AND SOUTH FOR
60 NM.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE UPPER KEYS AND THE WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN
INCLUDING THE OUTER WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE...ALL
RESIDENTS...MARINERS AND VISITORS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
WEAK HURRICANE PAULA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAULA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7N...LONGITUDE 85.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KEY WEST FL. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE PAULA...CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...WILL
TURN NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTHEAST TO EAST OVER THE EXTREME WESTERN
TIP OF CUBA TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. PAULA IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA LATER
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...AND
WITH PAULA BEING A SMALL STORM WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING
DURING THE TIME OF CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE KEYS...THE ONLY POTENTIAL
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS
ON THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS.
HOWEVER...ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION ON HURRICANE PAULA.

.NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED POSITION OF WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE
ISLAND CHAIN...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS
MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE
PAULA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN KEY WEST BY 900 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

FLZ077-078-GMZ053-054-073>075-141015-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
609 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED POSITION OF WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...THERE ARE NO PRECAUTIONARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE
ISLAND CHAIN...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT MARINE CONDITIONS
MAY DETERIORATE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY
NIGHT.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE FOR
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS.


...WINDS AND SEAS...
OUTSIDE OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY EAST WINDS OF
AROUND 10 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL ON KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.
THEREAFTER...AS HURRICANE PAULA MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN
PORTION OF CUBA...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON
THE OUTER WATERS BEYOND 40 NM SOUTH OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED INCREASING
WINDS...SEAS MAY BUILD UP TO 7 FEET ON THE OUTER STRAITS THURSDAY
NIGHT.

$$

FLZ076-GMZ031>033-052-072-141015-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
609 PM EDT WED OCT 13 2010

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
UPDATED POSITION OF WEAKENING HURRICANE PAULA.

$$

APA


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