[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Nov 18 17:47:31 CST 2010


ABNT20 KNHC 182347
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST THU NOV 18 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF
HONDURAS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  SURFACE PRESSURES ARE RELATIVELY
HIGH AND PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING ACROSS THAT AREA. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE LOW
CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND GUATEMALA BY
LATE TOMORROW...WHICH WILL LIMIT THE OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.  THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
THE TYPE OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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